JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race For Northumberland Plate) (GBBPlus Race) · 2m56y
Charging Thunder's poor form of -75027, a low Saturday Rating of 63, and 22/1 odds signal minimal winning chance.
Chemistry's 20/1 odds, poor 04-849 form, and low 70 Saturday Rating confirm a horse with little winning chance.
Poor recent form (587-00) combined with a 73 Saturday Rating and 11/1 odds signal a horse carrying 9-11 with little market confidence.
Recent form shows a win and place, but 9-11 weight and 4/1 odds suggest market respects without fully endorsing the 93-rated contender.
Artisan Dancer's poor form of -16040, low Saturday Rating of 60, and 28/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Sax Appeal's weak 58 Saturday Rating, poor 383653 form, and 25/1 odds signal no winning chance here.
Laafy's 66/1 odds, poor form of 7/08-0, and low Saturday Rating of 56 offer no winning case.
Premiere Ligne's 40/1 odds, poor 220/96 form, and low 54 Saturday Rating make this 9-6 weighted runner an outsider with little winning chance.
Strong recent form of 1/2-11 and a competitive Saturday Rating of 91 support claims, but 9-6 weight at 10/3 limits upside.
A Saturday Rating of 54, 50/1 odds, and poor recent form of 14036- make Brosna Town a very unlikely contender.
Hermetic's outsider odds of 14/1, modest Saturday Rating of 68, and inconsistent form of 114-46 justify just 2/5 stars.
Weak Saturday Rating of 70, poor recent form showing a 0 and 7, and 14/1 odds suggest market holds little confidence.
Recent form of 251111 is strong, but a Saturday Rating of 83 and 9/1 odds suggest limited market confidence.
St Faz carries 9-2 weight with a modest Saturday Rating of 79, weak 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 117152.
Low Saturday Rating of 68, poor recent form showing a 8th and 4th, and weak 22/1 odds indicate limited winning prospects.
Boxing Great's 18/1 odds, poor 551-86 form, and low 65 Saturday Rating make this 9-0 weighted runner an unconvincing outsider.
Outsider odds of 16/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 74, and inconsistent form of 481231 limit Treasure Islands' chances significantly.
Weak Saturday Rating of 65, outsider odds of 16/1, and inconsistent form of -35273 suggest limited winning prospects here.
Clansman's 33/1 odds and low Saturday Rating of 51 undermine his solid 321331 form despite a competitive 8-9 weight.
Poor form (3/06-0), a low Saturday Rating of 62, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Charging Thunder | 18/1 open 23.00 | — | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 William Hill |
| 2 Chemistry | 20/1 open 23.00 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 3 Alphonse Le Grande | 9/1 open 12.00 | — | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 4 Shrimp Shady | 4/1 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 5 Artisan Dancer | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sax Appeal | 22/1 open 26.00 | — | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Laafy | 80/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Coral |
| 8 Premiere Ligne | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Believitanducan | 11/4 open 4.33 | — | 5/2 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 10 Brosna Town | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Hermetic | 11/1 open 17.00 | — | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Savrola | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Arc Zoosve | 10/1 open 9.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 14 St Faz | 11/1 open 13.00 | — | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Fast Fred | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 William Hill |
| 16 Boxing Great | 16/1 open 19.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 17 Treasure Islands | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 18 Haveyoumissedme | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Clansman | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 20 Day Trader | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Believitanducan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong recent form of 1/2-11 and a competitive Saturday Rating of 91 support claims, but 9-6 weight at 10/3 limits upside.
Recent form shows a win and place, but 9-11 weight and 4/1 odds suggest market respects without fully endorsing the 93-rated contender.
Poor recent form (587-00) combined with a 73 Saturday Rating and 11/1 odds signal a horse carrying 9-11 with little market confidence.
Recent form of 251111 is strong, but a Saturday Rating of 83 and 9/1 odds suggest limited market confidence.
Hermetic's outsider odds of 14/1, modest Saturday Rating of 68, and inconsistent form of 114-46 justify just 2/5 stars.
St Faz carries 9-2 weight with a modest Saturday Rating of 79, weak 12/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 117152.
Boxing Great's 18/1 odds, poor 551-86 form, and low 65 Saturday Rating make this 9-0 weighted runner an unconvincing outsider.
Poor form (3/06-0), a low Saturday Rating of 62, and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Charging Thunder's poor form of -75027, a low Saturday Rating of 63, and 22/1 odds signal minimal winning chance.
Weak Saturday Rating of 70, poor recent form showing a 0 and 7, and 14/1 odds suggest market holds little confidence.
Outsider odds of 16/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 74, and inconsistent form of 481231 limit Treasure Islands' chances significantly.
Weak Saturday Rating of 65, outsider odds of 16/1, and inconsistent form of -35273 suggest limited winning prospects here.
Chemistry's 20/1 odds, poor 04-849 form, and low 70 Saturday Rating confirm a horse with little winning chance.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Believitanducan (SR 91, 10/3) is one of only two horses in this field with an SR above 90, and crucially carries just 9-6 — 6lb less than the equal top-weights Charging Thunder and Chemistry, giving a meaningful lbs edge for the superior rating. The form string 1/2-11 tells a clean story: two recent wins with a close second sandwiched in, confirming the horse is at peak form and handles the trip. Alan King is a trainer adept at placing stayers, and at 10/3 the market is clearly confident — this is not a drifter but a well-backed favourite with obvious form credentials. The 2m56y on AW Newcastle suits a horse whose recent runs demonstrate stamina and consistency. Each-way alternative: Arc Zoosve. Main danger: Shrimp Shady — Shrimp Shady (SR 93, 4/1) is the joint top-rated horse in the field and the form string -44121 shows a horse that has hit form sharply — three of the last five runs are wins or seconds — and at just four years old has improvement potential that could offset the top-weight burden of 9-11.