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14:40 Newcastle (AW) 27 Jun 2026 JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race For Northumberland Plate) (GBBPlus Race)

  • 20 Runners
  • Class 2 Class
  • 2m56y Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Charging Thunder

Mason Paetel(5) James Owen

63SR 88OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 46 -1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
31%
~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 13 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 22% +3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Mason Paetel(3) 50 wins from 420 rides 12 WIN %
  • James Owen 282 wins from 1635 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 123 together 13WIN %
2

Chemistry

Lewis Edmunds Jennie Candlish

70SR 88OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 46 +9

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 12 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lewis Edmunds 100 wins from 947 rides 11 WIN %
  • Jennie Candlish 38 wins from 267 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 19 together 0WIN %
3

Alphonse Le Grande

Sam Coen(5) A J Martin

73SR 87OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 46 -19

Going Record

on Good to Soft
29%
✗ Avoid

5 wins, 3 placed · 28 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 22% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sam Coen(5) 23 wins from 175 rides 13 WIN %
  • A J Martin 16 wins from 286 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
4

Shrimp Shady

Rob Hornby Andrew Balding

93SR 87OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 68 · Field avg 46 +21

Going Record

on Good to Soft
55%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 11 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 22% +28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Rob Hornby 132 wins from 1163 rides 11 WIN %
  • Andrew Balding 285 wins from 1508 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 117 together 14WIN %
5

Artisan Dancer

Cieren Fallon Charlie Johnston

60SR 86OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-35 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 46 -14

Going Record

on Good to Soft
42%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Cieren Fallon 167 wins from 865 rides 19 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 171 wins from 1331 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 12 together 17WIN %
6

Sax Appeal

Daniel Muscutt Charlie Johnston

58SR 86OR 22/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 4 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+22 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 46 -4

Going Record

on Good to Soft
54%
✓ Proven

9 wins, 13 placed · 41 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 22% +28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Daniel Muscutt 49 wins from 425 rides 12 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 171 wins from 1331 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 35 together 11WIN %
7

Laafy

Connor Beasley Brian Ellison

56SR 86OR 80/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 46 -21

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Connor Beasley 59 wins from 414 rides 14 WIN %
  • Brian Ellison 53 wins from 605 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 13 together 15WIN %
8

Premiere Ligne

Jack Nicholls(5) Hughie Morrison

54SR 82OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 46 -21

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Nicholls 54 wins from 452 rides 12 WIN %
  • Hughie Morrison 16 wins from 166 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
9

Believitanducan

William Buick Alan King

91SR 82OR 11/4Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+28 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 73 · Field avg 46 +26

Going Record

on Good to Soft
73%
★ Specialist

7 wins, 4 placed · 15 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 22% +78

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • William Buick 82 wins from 403 rides 20 WIN %
  • Alan King 68 wins from 477 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 1 together 100WIN %
10

Brosna Town

Ray Dawson Jessica Bedi

54SR 81OR 100/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 46 -11

Going Record

on Good to Soft
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ray Dawson 73 wins from 457 rides 16 WIN %
  • Jessica Bedi 3 wins from 55 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
11

Hermetic

Luke Morris Ian Williams

68SR 81OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 46 -14

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 170 wins from 1473 rides 12 WIN %
  • Ian Williams 83 wins from 658 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 29 together 7WIN %
12

Savrola

Paul Mulrennan Dianne Sayer

70SR 80OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 46 -1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Paul Mulrennan 108 wins from 1043 rides 10 WIN %
  • Dianne Sayer 5 wins from 41 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
13

Arc Zoosve

Dougie Costello Neil King

83SR 79OR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 75 · Field avg 46 +29

Going Record

on Good to Soft
58%
✓ Proven

6 wins, 1 placed · 12 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Dougie Costello 12 wins from 180 rides 7 WIN %
  • Neil King 22 wins from 102 runners 22 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
14

St Faz

Mikey Sheehy Adrian Paul Keatley

79SR 78OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-38 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 46 +5

Going Record

on Good to Soft
52%
✓ Proven

5 wins, 9 placed · 27 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 22% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • M. P. Sheehy 12 wins from 117 rides 10 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 37 wins from 239 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 9 wins from 64 together 14WIN %
15

Fast Fred

Sam James Phillip Makin

68SR 77OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 46 +16

Going Record

on Good to Soft
71%
✓ Proven

1 win, 9 placed · 14 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 22% +28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sam James 78 wins from 563 rides 14 WIN %
  • Phillip Makin 15 wins from 130 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 38 together 8WIN %
16

Boxing Great

Adam Caffrey Karl Thornton

65SR 76OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 46 +1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
38%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 13 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Adam Caffrey 12 wins from 172 rides 7 WIN %
  • Karl Thornton 5 wins from 67 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
17

Treasure Islands

David Allan Tim Easterby

74SR 75OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-32 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 46 0

Going Record

on Good to Soft
38%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • David Allan 101 wins from 927 rides 11 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 183 wins from 2043 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 78 wins from 767 together 10WIN %
18

Haveyoumissedme

Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine

65SR 72OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 46 +16

Going Record

on Good to Soft
100%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 22% +78

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Andrew Mullen 28 wins from 302 rides 9 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 35 wins from 290 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 86 together 17WIN %
19

Clansman

Rhys Elliott(5) Liam Bailey

51SR 71OR 50/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 46 -6

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rhys Elliott(5) 22 wins from 218 rides 10 WIN %
  • Liam Bailey 5 wins from 107 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
20

Day Trader

N G McCullagh A J Martin

62SR 70OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 46 -11

Going Record

on Good to Soft
29%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 22% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • N G McCullagh 2 wins from 78 rides 3 WIN %
  • A J Martin 16 wins from 286 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 11 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
6 Steamers
10 Drifters
4 Flat