Newton Abbot 18:10 RESULTED
Class 4 23 Jun 2026

Tuesday 23 June Celebrate Racing Staff Week Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Celebrate Racing Staff Week Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m167y

Official Result

Celebrate Racing Staff Week Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sudbury Hill (IRE) Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham
    5/6F
  2. 3/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Keep Under Wraps silks
Keep Under Wraps
Age 3 · 11-2
151
3
11-2
4/1 FCST 7/2
A Massaat colt with a mixed pedigree — a half-brother stayed 10 furlongs but another relative was poor at staying trips, with the dam showing ability only at sprint distances; pedigree alone gives no great confidence. Best treated with caution on debut, though the scope to improve with experience is unknown.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 151 at 4/1 odds signals solid market confidence despite not being favourite.

2
Sudbury Hill silks
Sudbury Hill
Age 3 · 11-2
2
158
3
11-2
4/5 4/7 8/11
Gave first run away on hurdling debut, finishing a promising second beaten four and a half lengths; handles today's trip and ground and is likely to come on significantly for that experience. Yet to score, but the manner of that debut display suggests there is more to come when given a stronger ride.
AI verdict

Strong 158 Saturday Rating and dominant 4/5 market odds with solid placed form justify four stars.

3
Affection silks
Affection
Age 3 · 10-9
154
3
10-9
5/2 7/4 9/4
Multiple winner on the Flat in France over 10-12 furlongs on all-weather and good to soft; shaped as though crying out for a more demanding test on a recent stable appearance and the switch to hurdles over this trip looks a good fit. Yet to run under rules but the French Flat background suggests she could develop into a useful hurdler.
AI verdict

Affection's strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 5/2 market odds justify the 4-star rating despite unknown form.

4
Hearts To Heaven silks
Hearts To Heaven
Age 3 · 10-9
125
3
10-9
40/1 28/1 40/1
A filly by Dragon Dancer out of an unraced dam, with her nearest relative making little impression at staying trips; pedigree gives mixed signals and she is best watched on debut rather than trusted. Could run creditably but is an unknown quantity first time out.
AI verdict

Long odds of 40/1 and unknown form make Hearts To Heaven a 125-rated outsider with little market support.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Keep Under Wraps 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.50 7/2 4/1 Bet365
2 Sudbury Hill 4/5 open 1.67 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.57 4/5 Bet365
3 Affection 5/2 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 5/2 Bet365
4 Hearts To Heaven 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sudbury Hill

High conviction

Sudbury Hill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Harry Derham Paul O'Brien
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Affection

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · D Pipe
✓ Value Signal

Hearts To Heaven

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · J Tickle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Sudbury Hill
72.3 4/5
2 3. Affection
70.9 5/2
3 1. Keep Under Wraps
70.9 4/1
4 4. Hearts To Heaven
52.0 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sudbury Hill
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 11-2
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾

Strong 158 Saturday Rating and dominant 4/5 market odds with solid placed form justify four stars.

3
Age 3 · 10-9
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Affection's strong Saturday Rating of 154 and competitive 5/2 market odds justify the 4-star rating despite unknown form.

1
Age 3 · 11-2
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 151 at 4/1 odds signals solid market confidence despite not being favourite.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sudbury Hill
Confidence: Medium

Sudbury Hill (SR 158, 4/5) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with any hurdles form — a debut second that immediately signals track ability and jumping competence over obstacles. At 11-2 the weight is identical to Keep Under Wraps, so no lbs disadvantage there, while the 4/5 market price reflects genuine confidence from Harry Derham's yard. In a juvenile maiden hurdle of just four runners, the combination of the field-leading SR, proven hurdling experience, and strong market backing makes this a straightforward call. Each-way alternative: Affection. Main danger: Affection — Affection (SR 154, 5/2) carries 7lb less than Sudbury Hill at 10-9, is trained by the shrewd David Pipe who regularly introduces well-schooled hurdling debutants, and at 5/2 there is clear market respect for her chance on debut over obstacles.

Shortlist Sudbury Hill, Affection, Keep Under Wraps
Each-way: Affection Danger: Affection

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m167y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade