Took a race here from a 5lb lower mark penultimate start and went below form when stepped up in trip last time on the same mark; back to a more suitable distance in first-time cheekpieces with course form to call on. Our top-rated runner and capable of making the running count if reverting to that earlier level.
Form last 65601-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 83 and inconsistent form of 5601-4 limits Jetty May's appeal at 5/1.
Won by two and a quarter lengths off a mark 2lb higher at Hereford earlier and has now slipped back below that winning level; effective around 3m on soft and good, with the trainer in good current form. Tends to idle in front, which is the main risk, but has the form in the book to win off this mark.
Form last 614-3P3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 79 with inconsistent form (14-3P3) and carrying 11-8, Edgewell's 13/2 odds reflect limited market confidence.
Came down last time and had been placing consistently in the two starts before that; effective around 2m-4f on soft and good ground. A tricky sort at times, but a genuine contender if he gets round safely.
Form last 62233-U
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Hatos carries top weight of 11-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 77 and inconsistent form of 2233-U, limiting confidence despite fair 10/3 odds.
Landed a race over course and distance off a higher mark earlier this season but has been inconsistent since and failed to complete last time; effective over 3m on good and good to soft, returning from a short break with a first-time hood. Must prove willingness to complete before placing any confidence here.
Form last 62346P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR—RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 11-5, a Saturday Rating of just 57, and 22/1 odds reflect poor recent form of 2346P-.
Held up and a well-beaten third at Fakenham most recently, never getting competitive over a trip she handles; better over fences than hurdles and comes here after a short break. Plenty to find in recent form but the switch back to chasing could bring about an upturn.
Form last 632/63-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 11-4 with a weak form figure of 32/63- and a modest Saturday Rating of 78 makes 17/2 unappealing.
Runner-up in a point beaten a length last time and has placed twice in recent form; first-time cheekpieces fitted and handles today's ground. Yet to score and has had jumping-related issues previously, though the balance of evidence suggests an each-way type if things go smoothly.
Form last 6FU8-32
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 11-3 with a Saturday Rating of 79 and patchy form of FU8-32 limits confidence at 7/1.
Drifted up the hill and struggled for fluency when fourth last time at a course that places a premium on clean jumping; effective over 3m-3m2f on a sound surface and first-time cheekpieces fitted. Unreliable and yet to score in recent starts — hard to fancy until consistency improves.
Form last 66276-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 11-2 with a Saturday Rating of just 77 and inconsistent form of 6276-4 at 15/2 makes Unspeakable a weak selection.
Made a series of jumping errors last time and was clearly not at his best, a well-beaten third over course and distance; suits 3m on good ground but that display was well short of what would be needed. Needs significantly improved jumping to figure.
Form last 65334-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Testflight's Saturday Rating of 75 and consistent form of 5334-3 at 6/1 suggest each-way potential without inspiring full confidence under 10-12.
The ground may have contributed to a distant fourth last time but has been underperforming for the new yard across several recent efforts; effective over 3m-plus and has slipped down the weights. Returning from a long break and the form needs to be taken on trust — hard to be confident until it arrives.
Form last 6/5584-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Benny Baloo's poor form figures of /5584- and weak Saturday Rating of 71 at 10/1 justify a low 2-star rating.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bucks Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/1Sheila LewisBen Jones
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jetty May
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · P F Nicholls✓ Value Signal
Illogical Logic
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · Christian Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hatos (SR 77, 10/3) is the market leader for good reason — despite the U (unseated) last time, the prior form of 2233 shows consistent placing at this level and the unseating is a mechanical non-finish rather than a reflection of ability or fitness. At 11-8 he carries the same weight as Edgewell but posts a higher SR and holds clear market confidence at a price that has been well supported. The 3m1f170y trip on Good ground at Newton Abbot suits a proven stayer who has placed repeatedly over similar distances. With the joint-highest SR among the genuine contenders and the market backing that up, Hatos is the most credible winning proposition in a field where no horse dominates on SR alone.
Each-way alternative: Testflight.
Main danger: Jetty May — Jetty May (SR 83, 5/1) is the SR leader in the field, trained by the powerful Paul Nicholls, and although top-weight at 12-0 on Good ground is a burden, the SR advantage of 6 points over Hatos means raw ability could overpower the weight concession if the race is run to suit.