Consistent enough at 2m and handles any ground, but form has been tailing off for the past twelve months with well-beaten efforts in recent handicaps; first-time hood fitted and retains a mark of 111. Yet to score in recent starts and must show something closer to his best of 12 months ago to justify favouritism on our figures.
Form last 69837-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
103SR—RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor recent form (9837-7) and a high weight of 12-1 undermine his 4/1 market position despite a Saturday Rating of 103.
Back after a break of nearly eight months and below form prior to that in a higher-grade handicap; the yard has a strong recent record in this race and he handles today's distance and conditions. First-time cheekpieces fitted and the return to a longer distance could prove beneficial, but a lot to prove after such a long absence.
Form last 6U3417-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Roadshow's 101 Saturday Rating and 13/2 odds suggest mid-tier market confidence, but 11-8 weight and inconsistent U3417- form limit upside.
Took a handicap by seven lengths off this mark last time in a first-time tongue strap, running to his best form since going into handicaps; effective over 2m-3m and acts on good to soft and good. Only seven days since that win but the consistent profile gives confidence he will go close again.
Form last 6923-71
★AI Rating★★★★☆
102SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong 102 Saturday Rating and attractive 15/8 odds back recent form figures showing a win, carrying 11-3 competitively.
Faded out of the picture last time when the trip stretched stamina, a pattern that makes the extended journey here a concern; effective over a shorter range of 12-16 furlongs on a sound surface and first-time cheekpieces are fitted. Yet to score in recent starts with a bit still to prove over this distance.
Form last 657-039
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 20/1, a Saturday Rating of 77, and poor recent form of 57-039 make Chillhi an unconvincing outsider.
Back to his best last time, taking a handicap here by a length from a lower mark and in good form across both codes; acts on good ground over 2m and remains well treated on older form. Rises 4lb for that success, however, and the inconsistency in his overall record is worth noting.
Form last 67402-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Cogital's recent win in form revives interest, but 10-9 weight and 7/1 odds suggest the market holds reservations at a Saturday Rating of 92.
Has been dropping down the weights and, though held up and beaten 10 lengths here last time, shaped as though a more demanding test over this trip could produce a better result; acts on any ground over 2m-2m3f. Yet to score in recent starts but is a genuine threat if given the searching test he needs.
Form last 64647-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Ugo Bingo's poor recent form of 4647-7, combined with a 7/1 odds and modest Saturday Rating of 89, offers little confidence.
Going too hard up front and emptying quickly last time, was well beaten, though had been in sound form before that; inconsistent overall and returning from a long absence of 264 days. Effective over 2m and should strip fitter for the run, but difficult to trust first time back from such a break.
Form last 6P84F7-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 25/1, poor recent form showing a fall, and a low Saturday Rating of 63 suggest minimal winning prospects.
Third here last time, beaten one and a quarter lengths off this mark over track and trip; a maiden who has been competitive without managing to get off the mark in recent starts. Acts on a sound surface over 2m and consistent enough to keep a place in the frame, though that first success remains elusive.
Form last 6334-53
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Linden Lane's mid-range Saturday Rating of 88, inconsistent form of 334-53, and 15/2 odds suggest a competitive but unreliable each-way contender.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Saint Polo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8J CandlishMr Jamie Neild
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Norman Fletcher
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies✓ Value Signal
Applejack Poet
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Barry T Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Saint Polo (SR 102, 15/8) is the highest-rated runner on a competitive mark and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form 923-71, rightmost digit = 1), giving him a live, in-form profile that no rival can match. Carrying 11-3 is manageable — a 12lb weight advantage over topweight Norman Fletcher (SR 103, 12-1) means the minimal SR gap is erased by the lbs edge. The four-star AI probability (highest in the field) and market favouritism from 15/8 reflect genuine confidence rather than default favourite status; J Candlish sending a 6-year-old to Newton Abbot on Good ground over 2m167y suits a horse who ended last season winning. The combination of last-time-out form, weight relief, market confidence, and SR leadership makes this a clear selection.
Each-way alternative: Cogital.
Main danger: Cogital — Cogital (SR 92, 7/1) arrives on a last-time-out win (form 7402-1) carrying only 10-9 — the lightest competitive weight in the field — and while the age (11) is a concern, the freshness of that win and the favourable weight give him a genuine chance of upsetting Saint Polo.