Newbury 20:35 RESULTED
Class 5 23 Jun 2026

Tuesday 23 June Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Apprentice Handicap

Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Apprentice Handicap · 1m3f

Official Result

Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Redbud Sixteen (IRE) Harry Vigors · Charlie Pike
    5/2
  2. 28/1
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Shady Bay silks
Shady Bay
Age 5 · 9-12
776-13
75
76
75OR
5
9-12
5/1 5/1 4/1
Third when beaten two lengths last time in first-time headgear, going close to his best off a mark of 74, and is now just a pound higher; handles today's distance and conditions and has the form to make his presence felt — the main risk is a competitive ten-runner field.
AI verdict

Shady Bay's solid form (776-13) and fair 5/1 odds are offset by a high 9-12 weight and Saturday Rating of 76.

2
Vino Sauro silks
Vino Sauro
Age 4 · 9-12
30-006
75
43
75OR
4
9-12
28/1 12/1 28/1
A modest sixth on his latest outing and without a win in his last five starts; beaten six lengths when returning to Britain most recently and the figures remain unimpressive, though he is still relatively early in his career and there is just about time for him to progress.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 43, poor form of 30-006, and 25/1 odds signal Vino Sauro holds little winning chance here.

3
Redbud Sixteen silks
Redbud Sixteen
Age 4 · 9-12
723-81
75
82
75OR
4
9-12
9/4 7/4 9/4
Took advantage of a drop in the ratings to win a handicap at Salisbury nine days ago, doing so comfortably with Harry Vigors's three-pound claim reducing much of her penalty; versatile in terms of ground and trip and looks a logical follow-up candidate.
AI verdict

Solid Saturday Rating of 82 and fair 9/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-12 and inconsistent form 723-81.

4
Tiger silks
Tiger
Age 4 · 9-10
34-642
73
75
73OR
4
9-10
5/1 7/2 9/2
Close second at Doncaster last time, just half a length behind the winner off this exact mark; handles a range of trips and ground conditions, though the trainer is currently without a winner and he needs to settle to show his best.
AI verdict

Tiger's 5/1 odds, modest 75 Saturday Rating, and inconsistent 34-642 form under 9-10 weight justify just 2/5 stars.

5
Yokohama silks
Yokohama
Age 5 · 9-10
7-0513
73
80
73OR
5
9-10
11/4 3/1 5/2
Third last time when the going proved a touch testing, but most effective on a sounder surface; consistent at ten to twelve furlongs and has the form to go well here, though the same mark makes this no easy task.
AI verdict

Solid 80 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds are offset by inconsistent 7-0513 form and a hefty 9-10 weight.

6
Harlington silks
Harlington
Age 5 · 9-9
211133
72
61
72OR
5
9-9
14/1 8/1 14/1
Three wins from six recent starts and still competitive at the weights; effective at ten to twelve furlongs on any going and trainer is in form — last time on turf the pace suited others more, but today's stiffer test looks ideal.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 61 and 14/1 odds make Harlington an outsider despite consistent form showing three recent podium finishes.

7
Expressionless silks
Expressionless
Age 6 · 9-9
-31038
72
60
72OR
6
9-9
14/1 16/1 11/1
A remote eighth on soft last time, well below his level, and now drops a pound to a mark one below his best recent form; course experience and a firm return to quicker conditions are in his favour and he is capable of a very different display.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 60 and weak form figures of -31038 at 18/1 odds offer little confidence.

8
Robusto silks
Robusto
Age 6 · 9-6
263015
69
47
69OR
6
9-6
40/1 18/1 40/1
Failed to stay back up at two miles last time, beaten fourteen lengths in first-time blinkers; ten pounds lower here and returns to around twelve to fourteen furlongs which is his optimum range, though his best form has come on the all-weather.
AI verdict

Robusto's 40/1 odds, poor Saturday Rating of 47, and inconsistent form of 263015 make this a low-value selection.

9
Grey Fox silks
Grey Fox
Age 9 · 9-3
1549-6
66
45
66OR
9
9-3
22/1 16/1 22/1
Failed to get into his race from off the pace on his seasonal return, beaten seven lengths, and should come on for that run; two miles is really his distance and this trip looks a shade inadequate, though fast ground suits.
AI verdict

Grey Fox's Saturday Rating of 45, poor form (1549-6), and 22/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects in this contest.

10
Raintown silks
Raintown
Age 6 · 8-13
-87834
62
41
62OR
6
8-13
25/1 22/1 25/1
Unplaced last time after a tardy start, well beaten after a sluggish beginning, and the mark continues to slide without improvement in results; handles ten to twelve furlongs on any going, but the form of late gives little reason for confidence.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 41, poor recent form of -87834, and 28/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects for Raintown.

11
Brodie's Boy silks
Brodie's Boy
Age 5 · 8-11
355348
60
38
60OR
5
8-11
33/1 20/1 33/1
Well beaten in recent handicaps and ranked last in the field; best form has come on the all-weather, and a return to turf at this point makes a positive outcome hard to envisage.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 38, poor recent form of 355348, and 33/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Shady Bay 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Vino Sauro 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 Coral
3 Redbud Sixteen 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 Coral
4 Tiger 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Yokohama 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
6 Harlington 14/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 Coral
7 Expressionless 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Robusto 40/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Coral
9 Grey Fox 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
10 Raintown 25/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
11 Brodie's Boy 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Redbud Sixteen

Speculative

Redbud Sixteen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Charlie Pike Harry Vigors
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Shady Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · T Ward
✓ Value Signal

Robusto

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Redbud Sixteen
58.2 9/4
2 1. Shady Bay
54.2 5/1
3 5. Yokohama
53.0 11/4
4 4. Tiger
50.9 5/1
5 6. Harlington
42.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Redbud Sixteen
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-12
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

Solid Saturday Rating of 82 and fair 9/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-12 and inconsistent form 723-81.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Solid 80 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds are offset by inconsistent 7-0513 form and a hefty 9-10 weight.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

Shady Bay's solid form (776-13) and fair 5/1 odds are offset by a high 9-12 weight and Saturday Rating of 76.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Tiger's 5/1 odds, modest 75 Saturday Rating, and inconsistent 34-642 form under 9-10 weight justify just 2/5 stars.

6
Age 5 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 61 and 14/1 odds make Harlington an outsider despite consistent form showing three recent podium finishes.

7
Age 6 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 60 and weak form figures of -31038 at 18/1 odds offer little confidence.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Redbud Sixteen
Confidence: Medium

Redbud Sixteen (SR 82, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and commands strong market confidence as the clear favourite — a price that has shortened from a likely morning price, reflecting genuine confidence rather than blind drift. The form string 723-81 shows a recent win (rightmost digit 1) returning from a rest, confirming peak current form, and the SR of 82 is a meaningful 2-point edge over the next-best Yokohama (SR 80) and Shady Bay (SR 76). Carrying 9-12 on Good to Firm ground at 1m3f is not a prohibitive burden given the SR superiority, and trainer Charlie Pike has placed this horse to return from a break and win. The 9/4 price is justified by the combination of top SR, recent winning form, and market alignment. Each-way alternative: Yokohama. Main danger: Yokohama — Yokohama (SR 80, 11/4) carries 2lbs less than Redbud Sixteen at 9-10, has a recent placed run (form ending 13 — third and then a win) suggesting upward momentum, and at 11/4 the market rates this horse a genuine alternative, meaning any underperformance from Redbud Sixteen hands the race straight to Yokohama.

Shortlist Redbud Sixteen, Yokohama, Shady Bay
Each-way: Yokohama Danger: Yokohama

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m3f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade