Third when beaten two lengths last time in first-time headgear, going close to his best off a mark of 74, and is now just a pound higher; handles today's distance and conditions and has the form to make his presence felt — the main risk is a competitive ten-runner field.
Form last 6776-13
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Shady Bay's solid form (776-13) and fair 5/1 odds are offset by a high 9-12 weight and Saturday Rating of 76.
A modest sixth on his latest outing and without a win in his last five starts; beaten six lengths when returning to Britain most recently and the figures remain unimpressive, though he is still relatively early in his career and there is just about time for him to progress.
Form last 630-006
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 43, poor form of 30-006, and 25/1 odds signal Vino Sauro holds little winning chance here.
Took advantage of a drop in the ratings to win a handicap at Salisbury nine days ago, doing so comfortably with Harry Vigors's three-pound claim reducing much of her penalty; versatile in terms of ground and trip and looks a logical follow-up candidate.
Form last 6723-81
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 82 and fair 9/4 odds are offset by top weight 9-12 and inconsistent form 723-81.
Close second at Doncaster last time, just half a length behind the winner off this exact mark; handles a range of trips and ground conditions, though the trainer is currently without a winner and he needs to settle to show his best.
Form last 634-642
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Tiger's 5/1 odds, modest 75 Saturday Rating, and inconsistent 34-642 form under 9-10 weight justify just 2/5 stars.
Third last time when the going proved a touch testing, but most effective on a sounder surface; consistent at ten to twelve furlongs and has the form to go well here, though the same mark makes this no easy task.
Form last 67-0513
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid 80 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds are offset by inconsistent 7-0513 form and a hefty 9-10 weight.
Three wins from six recent starts and still competitive at the weights; effective at ten to twelve furlongs on any going and trainer is in form — last time on turf the pace suited others more, but today's stiffer test looks ideal.
Form last 6211133
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 61 and 14/1 odds make Harlington an outsider despite consistent form showing three recent podium finishes.
A remote eighth on soft last time, well below his level, and now drops a pound to a mark one below his best recent form; course experience and a firm return to quicker conditions are in his favour and he is capable of a very different display.
Form last 6-31038
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 60 and weak form figures of -31038 at 18/1 odds offer little confidence.
Failed to stay back up at two miles last time, beaten fourteen lengths in first-time blinkers; ten pounds lower here and returns to around twelve to fourteen furlongs which is his optimum range, though his best form has come on the all-weather.
Form last 6263015
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR—RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Robusto's 40/1 odds, poor Saturday Rating of 47, and inconsistent form of 263015 make this a low-value selection.
Failed to get into his race from off the pace on his seasonal return, beaten seven lengths, and should come on for that run; two miles is really his distance and this trip looks a shade inadequate, though fast ground suits.
Form last 61549-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Grey Fox's Saturday Rating of 45, poor form (1549-6), and 22/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects in this contest.
Unplaced last time after a tardy start, well beaten after a sluggish beginning, and the mark continues to slide without improvement in results; handles ten to twelve furlongs on any going, but the form of late gives little reason for confidence.
Form last 6-87834
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR—RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 41, poor recent form of -87834, and 28/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects for Raintown.
Well beaten in recent handicaps and ranked last in the field; best form has come on the all-weather, and a return to turf at this point makes a positive outcome hard to envisage.
Form last 6355348
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 38, poor recent form of 355348, and 33/1 odds signal limited winning prospects here.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Redbud Sixteen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Charlie PikeHarry Vigors
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Shady Bay
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · T Ward✓ Value Signal
Robusto
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Redbud Sixteen (SR 82, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and commands strong market confidence as the clear favourite — a price that has shortened from a likely morning price, reflecting genuine confidence rather than blind drift. The form string 723-81 shows a recent win (rightmost digit 1) returning from a rest, confirming peak current form, and the SR of 82 is a meaningful 2-point edge over the next-best Yokohama (SR 80) and Shady Bay (SR 76). Carrying 9-12 on Good to Firm ground at 1m3f is not a prohibitive burden given the SR superiority, and trainer Charlie Pike has placed this horse to return from a break and win. The 9/4 price is justified by the combination of top SR, recent winning form, and market alignment.
Each-way alternative: Yokohama.
Main danger: Yokohama — Yokohama (SR 80, 11/4) carries 2lbs less than Redbud Sixteen at 9-10, has a recent placed run (form ending 13 — third and then a win) suggesting upward momentum, and at 11/4 the market rates this horse a genuine alternative, meaning any underperformance from Redbud Sixteen hands the race straight to Yokohama.