Newbury 17:17 RESULTED
Class 4 23 Jun 2026

Tuesday 23 June BetVictor 100/1 On England Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)

BetVictor 100/1 On England Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 6f

Official Result

BetVictor 100/1 On England Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Arabica Queen (GB) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman
    8/1
  2. 15/8
  3. 5/4F
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Beverley

14:15–17:27 · 7 races

Ffos Las

14:30–17:10 · 6 races

Newbury

17:17–20:35 · 7 races

Newton Abbot

17:35–20:50 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Wateera silks
Wateera
Age 2 · 9-9
1
154
2
9-9
13/8 2/1 31/19
Ran out a comfortable two-length winner on her debut at Wetherby, looking within herself throughout and suggesting there is more in reserve; effective at five furlongs on quick ground and in good hands, though a penalty tests whether that form translates to Newbury.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 154 and winning form back this 13/8 market leader carrying 9-9.

2
Big Hitter silks
Big Hitter
Age 2 · 9-2
2
156
2
9-2
13/8 7/4 3/2
Shaped with genuine promise when second on debut at Chepstow, beaten just half a length, and is expected to come forward stepping up to six furlongs; yet to win, and today's ground is significantly quicker than she has encountered so far — that remains the one reservation.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 6/4 odds support a 4-star rating, though form showing only one run limits confidence.

3
Miss Tango silks
Miss Tango
Age 2 · 9-2
134
2
9-2
14/1 15/2 14/1
A 40,000gns Showcasing filly who is a half-sister to a very useful six-furlong performer, with her dam also placed at seven; connections are candid that a debut success is unlikely, though her speed pedigree suggests she can improve as the season develops.
AI verdict

Outsider at 14/1 carrying 9-2 with unknown form and a modest Saturday Rating of 134 limits confidence significantly.

4
Secret Rival silks
Secret Rival
Age 2 · 9-2
8
137
2
9-2
11/1 8/1 11/1
Raced too freely and looked ill at ease throughout her soft-ground debut at Chepstow, finishing well beaten; but juveniles from this yard frequently make a dramatic improvement between their first and second starts, and she is bred for pace — worth backing her to show an entirely different side here.
AI verdict

Moderate 137 Saturday Rating and weak form figure of 8 limit confidence despite fair 12/1 market odds.

5
Alice Rocks silks
Alice Rocks
Age 2 · 8-13
5
125
2
8-13
66/1 FCST 50/1
Well beaten in a novice at Kempton on only start, with little to show from that run; ranks near the foot of our figures and needs a significant leap forward to feature.
AI verdict

Long odds of 66/1, a single form figure of 5, and a Saturday Rating of 125 signal minimal winning prospects here.

6
Arabica Queen silks
Arabica Queen
Age 2 · 8-13
42
145
2
8-13
8/1 5/1 8/1
Runner-up last time, matching her debut level, and is effective at six furlongs on a sound surface; has yet to win but has shown she belongs at this level and could have a say if continuing in that vein.
AI verdict

Strong Saturday Rating of 145 and competitive 8/1 odds support her form figures of 42 at 8-13.

7
Sugar Yes Please silks
Sugar Yes Please
Age 2 · 8-13
142
2
8-13
11/1 17/2 10/1
A Mohaather filly with a dam who was fair at seven furlongs and a half-sister to a very useful six-furlong performer; the stable has an outstanding record in this exact contest and that reputation alone demands respect on her debut, even though she is an unknown quantity.
AI verdict

Rated 142 on Saturday Rating but unfancied at 10/1 with no known form limits confidence to a mid-tier three stars.

8
Bossy Angel silks
Bossy Angel
Age 2 · 8-10
9
124
2
8-10
66/1 33/1 50/1
Missed the break and was detached throughout in a novice at Windsor, trailing home ninth; plenty to find after that performance, though she has had the experience of a run which is worth something.
AI verdict

A single figure form of 9 and 66/1 odds highlight Bossy Angel's poor market confidence and limited winning prospects.

9
Celestial Mist silks
Celestial Mist
Age 2 · 8-10
124
2
8-10
33/1 22/1 20/1
A Sergei Prokofiev filly whose dam was very smart over six furlongs as a two-year-old, and who is a half-sister to a fair six-furlong performer; no racecourse form on which to base a judgement, but the pedigree has enough speed in it to make a market check worthwhile.
AI verdict

Long odds of 33/1, unknown form, and a below-par Saturday Rating of 124 make Celestial Mist an unconvincing outsider.

10
Lushill silks
Lushill
Age 2 · 8-10
127
2
8-10
66/1 FCST 50/1
A Magna Grecia filly whose trainer has had no winners in the past fortnight; a half-sister to a useful mile performer, but her debut record is hard to assess from the outside and she does not invite much confidence at this stage.
AI verdict

At 66/1 with a Saturday Rating of 127 and carrying 8-10, Lushill shows potential but remains a clear outsider.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Wateera 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 Bet365
2 Big Hitter 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 6/4 open 2.75 13/8 Bet365
3 Miss Tango 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
4 Secret Rival 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Alice Rocks 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365
6 Arabica Queen 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 Coral
7 Sugar Yes Please 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
8 Bossy Angel 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
9 Celestial Mist 33/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Lushill 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wateera

High conviction

Wateera owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 K R Burke C Lee
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Big Hitter

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · J A Osborne
✓ Value Signal

Celestial Mist

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · C Hills
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Wateera
72.0 13/8
2 2. Big Hitter
70.0 13/8
3 6. Arabica Queen
66.3 8/1
4 7. Sugar Yes Please
64.9 11/1
5 4. Secret Rival
63.3 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Big Hitter
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 154 and winning form back this 13/8 market leader carrying 9-9.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 6/4 odds support a 4-star rating, though form showing only one run limits confidence.

6
Age 2 · 8-13
8/1
★★★★☆ SR 145 🐾

Strong Saturday Rating of 145 and competitive 8/1 odds support her form figures of 42 at 8-13.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾

Moderate 137 Saturday Rating and weak form figure of 8 limit confidence despite fair 12/1 market odds.

7
Age 2 · 8-13
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾

Rated 142 on Saturday Rating but unfancied at 10/1 with no known form limits confidence to a mid-tier three stars.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 134 🐾

Outsider at 14/1 carrying 9-2 with unknown form and a modest Saturday Rating of 134 limits confidence significantly.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Big Hitter
Confidence: Medium

Big Hitter (SR 156, 6/4) holds the highest rating in the field and arrives as market leader, having run second on debut — a form figure that in a 2yo novice context is a clear improvement signal, suggesting the debut experience will sharpen her here. Crucially, she carries 9-2 versus Wateera's 9-9, a 7lb weight advantage over the only runner with a comparable SR (154), which on Good to Firm ground over 6f is a meaningful edge. The market has installed her at 6/4 having opened similarly, showing no drift and genuine punter confidence. Osborne's juveniles are typically well-prepared on debut, and the second-run bounce from a 2yo who ran into the frame first time is a well-established pattern. Each-way alternative: Arabica Queen. Main danger: Wateera — Wateera (SR 154, 13/8) won on debut under K R Burke — a trainer with a strong strike-rate with 2yo first-time-out winners — and a winning debut in a GBB-eligible novice stakes is the strongest possible form reference in this division; if she has trained on she could reverse the weight pull.

Shortlist Big Hitter, Wateera, Arabica Queen
Each-way: Arabica Queen Danger: Wateera

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade