Newton Abbot 19:50 RESULTED
Class 5 23 Jun 2026

Tuesday 23 June St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase

St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase · 2m4f216y

Official Result

St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Danny's Friend (IRE) Jack Tudor · Christian Williams
    7/2
  2. 7/2
  3. 11/10F
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Newton Abbot

17:35–20:50 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Demoiselle Kap silks
Demoiselle Kap
Age 8 · 12-0
353-29
105
85
105OR
8
12-0
17/2 15/2 17/2
Well below form last time, finishing ninth after a more encouraging second on the previous start; form has tailed off recently and acts on soft and good around 2m. First-time tongue strap fitted and conditions may help, but there is something to prove after that poor latest display.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 85, patchy form of 353-29, and an unconvincing 9/1 market price limits confidence.

2
Walkin Out silks
Walkin Out
Age 9 · 11-9
42-131
100
98
100OR
9
11-9
15/8 7/4 32/17
Won a point by eight lengths last time, reliable and likely thrown in relative to a handicap mark here; effective over 3m on good ground and has two wins in recent starts. Our top-rated runner and, despite this being her first attempt over regulation fences, the pointing form puts her ahead of the field on merit.
AI verdict

Solid recent form (42-131) and competitive 2/1 odds are offset by a high 11-9 weight and modest 98 Saturday Rating.

3
Limerick Leader silks
Limerick Leader
Age 9 · 11-9
1222-2
100
103
100OR
9
11-9
9/4 FCST 2/1
Took this race off a 4lb lower mark last year and arrives only 4lb higher after a run of close seconds, just worn down late over the longer trip last time; a front-running type who relishes making it, effective around 2m-2m-4f on soft and good with the trainer in form. Should benefit from dropping back in trip and is a clear threat to our selection.
AI verdict

Consistent form of 1222-2 and a competitive 2/1 market price are offset by a hefty 11-9 weight assignment limiting upside.

4
Jack's A Legend silks
Jack's A Legend
Age 11 · 11-3
/133-7
94
84
94OR
11
11-3
10/1 12/1 8/1
Placed twice in recent starts over today's trip and conditions; pulled too hard and emptied when tried at a longer distance last time but has course and distance form and handles a wide range of ground. Effective over 2m-2m-4f and looks capable of contributing from the placed positions if settling better.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 84 and inconsistent form of /133-7 at 9/1 suggest mid-tier potential carrying 11-3.

5
Vengeance silks
Vengeance
Age 8 · 10-5
4554-3
82
80
82OR
8
10-5
9/1 9/1 8/1
Beaten 23 lengths in third last time over course and distance, held up and losing ground on the testing uphill finish; effective over 2m-4f-2m-7f and first-time tongue strap fitted. A maiden without a win in recent starts, but an unexposed type over fences who could stay on for minor honours.
AI verdict

Vengeance's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 80, 9/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 4554-3 justify a cautious three-star rating.

6
Danny's Friend silks
Danny's Friend
Age 7 · 10-2
0515-4
79
84
79OR
7
10-2
6/1 9/2 11/2
Should come on for that run last time after a long break, finishing well beaten over course and distance; effective over 2m and could get a bit further, but the overall form is limited and the gap to the leaders substantial. Hard to fancy on current evidence.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 84 and inconsistent form figures of 0515-4 justify mid-tier appeal at 11/2 carrying 10-2.

7
School For Scandal silks
School For Scandal
Age 11 · 10-2
45P3-P
79
62
79OR
11
10-2
16/1 12/1 14/1
Came home lame having bled last time and has twice failed to complete in recent starts; effective over 2m-7f-3m2f on good to soft and good to firm when on song. The reliability question is significant and is the dominant concern until proven otherwise.
AI verdict

Rated just 62 with a form string showing two pulls and no win, School For Scandal faces steep odds of 16/1 carrying 10-2.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Demoiselle Kap 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 William Hill
2 Walkin Out 15/8 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 William Hill
3 Limerick Leader 9/4 2/1 2/1 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 9/4 Bet365
4 Jack's A Legend 10/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Vengeance 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Danny's Friend 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
7 School For Scandal 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Limerick Leader

Live signal

Limerick Leader owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Nick Scholfield James Bowen
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Walkin Out

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · D Pipe
✓ Value Signal

School For Scandal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · J Tickle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Limerick Leader
60.1 9/4
2 2. Walkin Out
57.9 15/8
3 6. Danny's Friend
54.1 6/1
4 4. Jack's A Legend
51.1 10/1
5 1. Demoiselle Kap
50.9 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Limerick Leader
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 9 · 11-9
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

Solid recent form (42-131) and competitive 2/1 odds are offset by a high 11-9 weight and modest 98 Saturday Rating.

3
Age 9 · 11-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾

Consistent form of 1222-2 and a competitive 2/1 market price are offset by a hefty 11-9 weight assignment limiting upside.

6
Age 7 · 10-2
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 84 and inconsistent form figures of 0515-4 justify mid-tier appeal at 11/2 carrying 10-2.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 85, patchy form of 353-29, and an unconvincing 9/1 market price limits confidence.

5
Age 8 · 10-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Vengeance's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 80, 9/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 4554-3 justify a cautious three-star rating.

4
Age 11 · 11-3
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 84 and inconsistent form of /133-7 at 9/1 suggest mid-tier potential carrying 11-3.

7
Age 11 · 10-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

Rated just 62 with a form string showing two pulls and no win, School For Scandal faces steep odds of 16/1 carrying 10-2.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Limerick Leader
Confidence: Medium

Limerick Leader (SR 103, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and his form string 1222-2 shows relentless consistency — a winner followed by four placed efforts, with the most recent run a second. At 11-9 he carries the same weight as Walkin Out but holds a 5-point SR advantage, making that equivalence a clear edge for Limerick Leader. Nick Scholfield's yard has shown it can place this horse competitively, and the Good ground at 2m4f216y suits a horse whose form suggests stamina and jumping reliability rather than a one-run blaze. The co-favourite market position is well justified by the data, not just the price. Each-way alternative: Walkin Out. Main danger: Walkin Out — Walkin Out (SR 98, 2/1) shares the co-favourite market position, carries the same weight as Limerick Leader, and his form 42-131 shows a last-time-out win suggesting he arrives in peak condition under David Pipe — a trainer with a strong record placing horses at this level.

Shortlist Limerick Leader, Walkin Out, Danny's Friend
Each-way: Walkin Out Danger: Walkin Out

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f216y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade