Well below form last time, finishing ninth after a more encouraging second on the previous start; form has tailed off recently and acts on soft and good around 2m. First-time tongue strap fitted and conditions may help, but there is something to prove after that poor latest display.
Form last 6353-29
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 85, patchy form of 353-29, and an unconvincing 9/1 market price limits confidence.
Won a point by eight lengths last time, reliable and likely thrown in relative to a handicap mark here; effective over 3m on good ground and has two wins in recent starts. Our top-rated runner and, despite this being her first attempt over regulation fences, the pointing form puts her ahead of the field on merit.
Form last 642-131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid recent form (42-131) and competitive 2/1 odds are offset by a high 11-9 weight and modest 98 Saturday Rating.
Took this race off a 4lb lower mark last year and arrives only 4lb higher after a run of close seconds, just worn down late over the longer trip last time; a front-running type who relishes making it, effective around 2m-2m-4f on soft and good with the trainer in form. Should benefit from dropping back in trip and is a clear threat to our selection.
Form last 61222-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Consistent form of 1222-2 and a competitive 2/1 market price are offset by a hefty 11-9 weight assignment limiting upside.
Placed twice in recent starts over today's trip and conditions; pulled too hard and emptied when tried at a longer distance last time but has course and distance form and handles a wide range of ground. Effective over 2m-2m-4f and looks capable of contributing from the placed positions if settling better.
Form last 6/133-7
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 84 and inconsistent form of /133-7 at 9/1 suggest mid-tier potential carrying 11-3.
Beaten 23 lengths in third last time over course and distance, held up and losing ground on the testing uphill finish; effective over 2m-4f-2m-7f and first-time tongue strap fitted. A maiden without a win in recent starts, but an unexposed type over fences who could stay on for minor honours.
Form last 64554-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Vengeance's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 80, 9/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 4554-3 justify a cautious three-star rating.
Should come on for that run last time after a long break, finishing well beaten over course and distance; effective over 2m and could get a bit further, but the overall form is limited and the gap to the leaders substantial. Hard to fancy on current evidence.
Form last 60515-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 84 and inconsistent form figures of 0515-4 justify mid-tier appeal at 11/2 carrying 10-2.
Came home lame having bled last time and has twice failed to complete in recent starts; effective over 2m-7f-3m2f on good to soft and good to firm when on song. The reliability question is significant and is the dominant concern until proven otherwise.
Form last 645P3-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 62 with a form string showing two pulls and no win, School For Scandal faces steep odds of 16/1 carrying 10-2.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Limerick Leader owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Nick ScholfieldJames Bowen
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Walkin Out
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/8 · D Pipe✓ Value Signal
School For Scandal
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · J Tickle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Limerick Leader (SR 103, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and his form string 1222-2 shows relentless consistency — a winner followed by four placed efforts, with the most recent run a second. At 11-9 he carries the same weight as Walkin Out but holds a 5-point SR advantage, making that equivalence a clear edge for Limerick Leader. Nick Scholfield's yard has shown it can place this horse competitively, and the Good ground at 2m4f216y suits a horse whose form suggests stamina and jumping reliability rather than a one-run blaze. The co-favourite market position is well justified by the data, not just the price.
Each-way alternative: Walkin Out.
Main danger: Walkin Out — Walkin Out (SR 98, 2/1) shares the co-favourite market position, carries the same weight as Limerick Leader, and his form 42-131 shows a last-time-out win suggesting he arrives in peak condition under David Pipe — a trainer with a strong record placing horses at this level.