Big Racing Weekender Next 3 And 4 July Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m100y
Long odds of 14/1 and unknown form make Feliz Navidad a weak market prospect despite a Saturday Rating of 134.
Pepsea's modest Saturday Rating of 70, 9/1 odds, and uninspiring 244 form mark her as an outsider with limited winning prospects.
Form figure of 3-53 and a Saturday Rating of 78 at 7/2 odds suggest mid-tier potential without standout credentials.
Alterity's strong Saturday Rating of 149 and consistent form figures of 5-3 at 7/1 odds offer solid each-way value.
A Saturday Rating of 144 and single form figure of 5 suggest mid-tier potential at 8/1, warranting a cautious three-star assessment.
Form figures of 35-434 show consistent placing without winning, supported by a competitive 76 Saturday Rating at 11/4 odds.
Saturday Rating of 155 combined with solid form figure of 2 and competitive 3/1 odds justify strong 4/5 star appeal.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feliz Navidad | 16/1 open 10.00 | — | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 2 Pepsea | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 7/1 | 7/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Three No Trumps | 11/4 open 4.50 | — | 5/2 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Alterity | 15/2 open 10.00 | — | 8/1 | 8/1 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 5 Cherringham | 8/1 open 7.00 | — | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 | 17/2 Coral |
| 6 Tamzan | 9/4 open 4.50 | — | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 15/8 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Regal Desire | 3/1 open 3.75 | — | 5/2 | 5/2 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alterity owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalForm figures of 35-434 show consistent placing without winning, supported by a competitive 76 Saturday Rating at 11/4 odds.
Form figure of 3-53 and a Saturday Rating of 78 at 7/2 odds suggest mid-tier potential without standout credentials.
Saturday Rating of 155 combined with solid form figure of 2 and competitive 3/1 odds justify strong 4/5 star appeal.
Alterity's strong Saturday Rating of 149 and consistent form figures of 5-3 at 7/1 odds offer solid each-way value.
Pepsea's modest Saturday Rating of 70, 9/1 odds, and uninspiring 244 form mark her as an outsider with limited winning prospects.
Long odds of 14/1 and unknown form make Feliz Navidad a weak market prospect despite a Saturday Rating of 134.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Regal Desire (SR 155, 3/1) holds the highest SR in the field by 6 points over Alterity (SR 149) and carries the lightest weight at 8-13, a meaningful edge in a maiden where lbs matter. Trained by B Ellison, whose yard has strong form at Beverley, and the single run showing a '2' finish indicates a ready-made second that should step forward on this good ground over 1m100y — a trip that suits a horse bred to stretch out. Market confidence at 3/1 with four-star probability aligns with a horse whose SR marks it as significantly ahead of most rivals, and the weight advantage over Alterity (9-1, carrying 2lb more for a lower SR) makes this an excellent risk-reward proposition. Each-way alternative: Alterity. Main danger: Alterity — Alterity (SR 149, 7/1) carries only 9-1 for Charlie Johnston — a trainer renowned for placing horses precisely — and a form string of 5-3 showing progressive improvement that could peak today over this trip.