Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden (Median Auction Race) · 1m1f163y
Outsider odds of 10/1, weak form of 460, and a low Saturday Rating of 64 signal limited winning prospects.
Rated 77 with consistent form figures of /3224-, Wonderfulwonderful's 9/2 odds suggest fair market respect without strong winning claims.
Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 7/4 odds support Camino Lad's claims, despite carrying 9-8 and holding only a single form figure.
Consistent form figures of 522 and a competitive 13/8 market price suggest ability, but a Saturday Rating of 83 limits confidence.
Long-shot odds of 22/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 130 signal weak market confidence in Swing Street's chances.
Long-shot odds of 33/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 127 signal minimal market confidence in The Monday Club.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 144 and weak form figure of 7 at 11/1 suggest limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-8.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sron Na Caise | 17/2 open 12.00 | — | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Wonderfulwonderful | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Camino Lad | 15/8 open 3.25 | — | 13/8 open 2.50 | 13/8 open 2.50 | 7/4 | 13/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Nermal | 13/8 open 2.50 | — | 13/8 open 2.38 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 11/8 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Swing Street | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 6 The Monday Club | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Time Whisperer | 14/1 open 10.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Camino Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalConsistent form figures of 522 and a competitive 13/8 market price suggest ability, but a Saturday Rating of 83 limits confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and competitive 7/4 odds support Camino Lad's claims, despite carrying 9-8 and holding only a single form figure.
Rated 77 with consistent form figures of /3224-, Wonderfulwonderful's 9/2 odds suggest fair market respect without strong winning claims.
Outsider odds of 10/1, weak form of 460, and a low Saturday Rating of 64 signal limited winning prospects.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 144 and weak form figure of 7 at 11/1 suggest limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-8.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Camino Lad (SR 156, 7/4) is the class standout in this field by a significant margin — a 12-point SR gap over the next-best Time Whisperer (SR 144) and a massive 73-point gap over the joint-favourite Nermal (SR 83). Trained by G M Lyons, one of Ireland's premier yards, and a debut third suggests he was learning on the job and has scope to improve on Good ground over this 1m1f163y trip, which suits a horse bred for middle distances. Carrying 9-8 alongside most of the field means no weight disadvantage to worry about, and at 7/4 the market is correctly pricing him as a clear favourite. The one credible concern is that his sole run is a single '3' — he hasn't won yet — but the SR of 156 indicates the level of that debut was considerably higher than anything else in this median auction maiden. Each-way alternative: Time Whisperer. Main danger: Nermal — Nermal (SR 83, 13/8) is priced almost identically to Camino Lad and shows a consistent form line of 522, suggesting a horse who keeps finding one or two better — if the Andrew Slattery yard has a sharp improver here and Camino Lad needs more time to hit peak form, Nermal's consistent placed form could convert to a win.