Lodge At Ashford Castle Maiden · 1m1f163y
A 125/1 outsider with a Saturday Rating of 124 and a single run form figure of 0 offers no market confidence.
Rated 147 with a single sixth-place run and 10/1 odds, Big Dispute shows promise but lacks proven form to warrant higher confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 76 and patchy form (20-039) justify mid-tier appeal at 4/1 carrying 9-9.
Extreme 125/1 odds and a single run showing only a zero in form signal minimal Saturday Rating confidence despite carrying 9-9.
Solid 88 Saturday Rating and fair 15/8 odds are offset by inconsistent 5/2524 form limiting confidence to three stars.
Long-shot odds of 50/1 undermine a solid Saturday Rating of 124, creating a conflicted market signal that limits confidence.
Rated 77 with inconsistent form (554-06) and mid-range 4/1 odds, Take Me shows potential but lacks the consistency for higher marks.
A Saturday Rating of 67, poor form figures of 0577, and 10/1 market odds combine to make Western Bandit an unconvincing proposition.
A Saturday Rating of 27 and 66/1 odds reflect deeply unconvincing form figures of 8-0400.
Long-shot odds of 66/1 and unknown form limit confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 127.
Harana's Saturday Rating of 78 and 3/1 odds show potential, but inconsistent 2-35 form limits confidence to three stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Believe Again | 150/1 open 126.00 | — | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Big Dispute | 15/2 open 12.00 | — | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Coul Dreamer | 4/1 | — | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 If Not For Grace | 150/1 open 126.00 | — | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mano Chicago | 9/4 open 2.75 | — | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Mischievous Fun | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Take Me | 7/1 open 5.00 | — | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 4.50 | 8/1 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 4.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 8 Western Bandit | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Cuckaloo Hill | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Drowsy Maggie | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 Coral |
| 11 Harana | 2/1 open 3.75 | — | 7/4 open 4.00 | 7/4 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 4.33 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Big Dispute owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalHarana's Saturday Rating of 78 and 3/1 odds show potential, but inconsistent 2-35 form limits confidence to three stars.
Solid 88 Saturday Rating and fair 15/8 odds are offset by inconsistent 5/2524 form limiting confidence to three stars.
A Saturday Rating of 76 and patchy form (20-039) justify mid-tier appeal at 4/1 carrying 9-9.
Rated 77 with inconsistent form (554-06) and mid-range 4/1 odds, Take Me shows potential but lacks the consistency for higher marks.
Rated 147 with a single sixth-place run and 10/1 odds, Big Dispute shows promise but lacks proven form to warrant higher confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 67, poor form figures of 0577, and 10/1 market odds combine to make Western Bandit an unconvincing proposition.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mano Chicago (SR 88, 15/8) is the standout on multiple signals: the highest SR in the field by a clear margin over the next credible contenders, strong market confidence at 15/8 favourite, and a form string of 5/2524 showing consistent placing across multiple starts including a second and two mid-field finishes that suggest a horse capable of hitting the frame at this level. At 9-9 with no weight penalty disadvantage relative to rivals and trainer J P Murtagh's yard capable of placing horses to win, this is a solid each-way foundation. The 1m1f163y trip on Good ground at Ballinrobe suits a horse that has been placed over a range of distances without winning, suggesting a maiden of this standard is the right opportunity. Each-way alternative: Harana. Main danger: Harana — Harana (SR 78, 3/1) is the second market choice from D K Weld's powerful yard, has form figures of 2-35 showing a placed effort, and the market's confidence at 3/1 suggests connections believe the step up to 1m1f163y on Good ground at Ballinrobe could unlock improvement.