Stand In What You Stand For Handicap · 1m208y
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 66 and inconsistent form of -51104 limits confidence.
Krissy's inconsistent form (121106) and modest Saturday Rating of 68 undermine her 7/1 market chance at 9-11.
Blakefell's inconsistent form (092-16) and 9-5 weight burden undermine his 80 Saturday Rating at 4/1.
Welbury's consistent form (35-122) and competitive 2/1 odds are offset by a demanding 9-5 weight against a Saturday Rating of 82.
A Saturday Rating of 51, weak 556 form, and 16/1 odds signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
Solid recent form (672761) and fair 10/3 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 69 and light weight of 8-2.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Highland Olly | 4/1 | — | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Krissy | 7/1 open 9.00 | — | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Blakefell | 7/2 open 6.00 | — | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Welbury | 11/4 open 3.25 | — | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 3/1 Coral |
| 5 Lorton Valley | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Port Darwin | 10/3 open 3.50 | — | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Welbury owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalWelbury's consistent form (35-122) and competitive 2/1 odds are offset by a demanding 9-5 weight against a Saturday Rating of 82.
Solid recent form (672761) and fair 10/3 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 69 and light weight of 8-2.
Blakefell's inconsistent form (092-16) and 9-5 weight burden undermine his 80 Saturday Rating at 4/1.
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 66 and inconsistent form of -51104 limits confidence.
Krissy's inconsistent form (121106) and modest Saturday Rating of 68 undermine her 7/1 market chance at 9-11.
A Saturday Rating of 51, weak 556 form, and 16/1 odds signal a horse the market has firmly dismissed.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Welbury (SR 82, 2/1) is the clear class-leader in this field and carries 9-5 — a weight advantage over Highland Olly's 10-2 top-weight that matters on good ground over a mile-plus. His form string 35-122 shows consistent placing at this level, with two recent seconds suggesting he is knocking hard on the door and overdue a win. Edward Bethell is a shrewd trainer with three-year-olds and the market's confidence at 2/1 is backed by the SR edge of 2lb over Blakefell and 13lb+ over the bottom of the field. The 1m208y trip on good ground suits a progressive three-year-old who has stayed this sort of distance consistently. Each-way alternative: Port Darwin. Main danger: Blakefell — Blakefell (SR 80, 4/1) has the second-highest SR in the field, carries the same weight as Welbury at 9-5, and his most recent run returned a '6' after a '1' win, suggesting he retains the ability to win at this level on a good day for Ivan Furtado.