J.J. Burke Peugeot Handicap · 1m1f163y
Sands Castle rates poorly with a Saturday Rating of just 50, uninspiring form of 00-450, and carries 10-0 at 9/1.
Inconsistent form (227074) and a low Saturday Rating of 53 make Onyeisi a risky 7/1 shot carrying 9-10.
Flagstone Lady's poor form (806), low Saturday Rating of 49, and mid-field 7/1 odds offer minimal winning appeal.
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 56 and inconsistent form of 0-5515 limits confidence.
Tavarua's poor form of 609, low Saturday Rating of 44, and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-7.
Carrying 9-1 at 33/1 odds with a Saturday Rating of 24 and poor form figures of 9-1770 makes Brave Approach an outsider to avoid.
Rated just 51 with uninspiring form of 09046, Rodeo Blues lacks the consistency to justify 7/2 market support.
A Saturday Rating of 45 and poor form of 600-4 make Connova's 15/2 odds hard to justify at 8-13.
A Saturday Rating of 37, poor form reading 805406, and 14/1 odds signal minimal market confidence.
Perggosa's Saturday Rating of 34, poor form of 0-09, and 16/1 odds signal no market confidence.
Canon Law's Saturday Rating of 22, 40/1 odds, and poor form figures of 0005-0 offer no compelling reason to back this runner.
Poor form figures of 90-877 and a low Saturday Rating of 42 make 9/1 odds insufficient value at 8-10.
A Saturday Rating of 33, poor form (05-430), and 16/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Wedding Year's chances.
A Saturday Rating of 37, poor form figures of 7-9505, and 12/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Carrying 9-3 with a Saturday Rating of just 50 and uninspiring form of -40484 at 11/2, Nephin Mountain offers little appeal.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sands Castle | 9/1 open 9.50 | — | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Coral |
| 2 Onyeisi | 8/1 open 7.50 | — | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 3 Flagstone Lady | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 4 A Pretty Penny | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 5 Tavarua | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 6 Brave Approach | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Rodeo Blues | 11/4 open 5.00 | — | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 8 Connova | 8/1 open 8.00 | — | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 9 Cause I Like You | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 10 Perggosa | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 Coral |
| 11 Canon Law | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Sand Art | 15/2 open 9.50 | — | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 | 9/1 Coral |
| 13 Wedding Year | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 14 Honey Dale | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 William Hill |
| 15 Nephin Mountain | 6/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rodeo Blues owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (28) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRated just 51 with uninspiring form of 09046, Rodeo Blues lacks the consistency to justify 7/2 market support.
Carrying 9-3 with a Saturday Rating of just 50 and uninspiring form of -40484 at 11/2, Nephin Mountain offers little appeal.
Flagstone Lady's poor form (806), low Saturday Rating of 49, and mid-field 7/1 odds offer minimal winning appeal.
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 56 and inconsistent form of 0-5515 limits confidence.
Poor form figures of 90-877 and a low Saturday Rating of 42 make 9/1 odds insufficient value at 8-10.
Inconsistent form (227074) and a low Saturday Rating of 53 make Onyeisi a risky 7/1 shot carrying 9-10.
A Saturday Rating of 45 and poor form of 600-4 make Connova's 15/2 odds hard to justify at 8-13.
Sands Castle rates poorly with a Saturday Rating of just 50, uninspiring form of 00-450, and carries 10-0 at 9/1.
Tavarua's poor form of 609, low Saturday Rating of 44, and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-7.
A Saturday Rating of 37, poor form figures of 7-9505, and 12/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 37, poor form reading 805406, and 14/1 odds signal minimal market confidence.
Perggosa's Saturday Rating of 34, poor form of 0-09, and 16/1 odds signal no market confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 33, poor form (05-430), and 16/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Wedding Year's chances.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
A Pretty Penny (SR 56, 11/2, 9-8) holds the best SR in the field and her form string 0-5515 shows a clear upward trajectory culminating in back-to-back placings and a win — the rightmost '5' indicates a fifth last time but the '11' sequence before it confirms she has already found the winner's enclosure at this level. Trainer Mrs Deborah Cody is a shrewd handler with handicap winners at provincial tracks, and 9-8 is a workable weight on Good ground over this 1m1f trip. The market at 11/2 reflects genuine confidence without being an over-bet favourite, and she carries only 2lb more than the second-best SR runner (Onyeisi, SR 53) while holding a clear SR edge over the rest of the field. Each-way alternative: Onyeisi. Main danger: Rodeo Blues — Rodeo Blues (SR 51, 7/2) is the clear market leader from Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard — a powerful operation — and carries only 9-1, giving him a 7lb weight advantage over the selection; if O'Brien has targeted this race the market confidence at 7/2 could prove well-founded.