Getting off the mark over seven furlongs at Chepstow last time with a determined display, Brocklesby Bill comes here under a penalty which makes the task harder; effective at seven furlongs on good to firm and the addition of a hood for the first time is worth noting, though more is likely needed under the penalty.
Form last 601
★AI Rating★★★★☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 150 and solid form figures of 01 at 4/1 make Brocklesby Bill a strong each-way proposition.
Third on debut at Kempton over seven furlongs in a performance that suggested more to come, House Of Medici steps up to a mile here for the first time; a top course jockey takes the ride and the profile with improvement expected as the trip increases makes this the one to beat.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
154SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 154 with solid 6/4 odds and 9-4 weight, but single form figure of 3 limits confidence.
A 42,000 euro Galiway gelding wearing a tongue-tie on debut, Electric Gambler looks the type to need more time to come into his own; likely a run to gain experience from rather than a winning bid.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
132SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-shot odds of 16/1, a Saturday Rating of 132, and no market confidence combine to make Electric Gambler a low-probability selection.
Outpaced early last time but showing best work in the closing stages at nine furlongs at Wolverhampton, Fiefdom has had two starts without getting off the mark; effective at nine furlongs on the all-weather and more is needed, though the late-running profile could suit over today's trip.
Form last 665
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Fiefdom's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 148 and uninspiring form figures of 65 at 4/1 justify a cautious three-star assessment.
A horse who showed ability on debut and then disappointed at Lingfield last time, Star Banner needs to recapture that earlier level; effective at seven furlongs on good and the initial debut effort gives some cause for hope, but inconsistency is the concern.
Form last 636
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 150 and 9/2 odds show promise, but form figures of 36 and 9-2 weight limit confidence.
Returning after nearly ten months away, I'mnotinlove showed little on the only start at Newbury and faced a stiff task; effective at six furlongs on good ground and could improve over a mile, but a significant step forward from modest debut form is required to feature here.
Form last 69-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
136SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Modest Saturday Rating of 136 and poor form figure of 9 limit confidence despite accessible 8-13 weight at 14/1.
Beaten well at Kempton on the only start and now returning from a break of over eight months, Speckled Brown faces a stiff task again; major improvement on that debut outing is needed, and while there is some interest in the course booking, the form demands caution.
Form last 60-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
126SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
At 50/1 in the market with a Saturday Rating of 126 and a single-run form of 0-, Speckled Brown offers little confidence.
Beaten well in a Bath novice on the only start so far, Kaiko made limited impression on debut; further improvement is required on every measure and this looks a difficult assignment at this stage of a career.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
High 28/1 odds and single form figure of 5 make Kaiko a 125-rated outsider with little market confidence.
An Advertise filly with a dam placed at eleven furlongs, Roccapina offers limited obvious speed appeal on debut; the breeding points to a longer trip in time and unless the market signals strongly otherwise, this looks a tough first assignment.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
136SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 136 shows ability, but 16/1 odds and outsider market position temper confidence significantly.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
House Of Medici owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/4Andrew BaldingOisin Murphy
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Brocklesby Bill
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Kathy Turner✓ Value Signal
Roccapina
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Martyn Meade◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
House Of Medici (SR 154, 6/4) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and carries 9-4 — a full 3lb lighter than top-weight Brocklesby Bill (SR 150, 9-7), giving it both a class edge and a weight advantage over the nearest rival. The 6/4 market position represents clear collective confidence from the market without the horse being an absurdly short price, and Andrew Balding's operation is reliable at this level. A single run showing a third-place finish gives a foundation rather than a red flag — a novice showing promise first time out and expected to improve on Good to Firm ground over 1m31y, a trip that should suit a Balding middle-distance type.
Each-way alternative: Brocklesby Bill.
Main danger: Brocklesby Bill — Brocklesby Bill (SR 150, 4/1) carries 3lb more than House Of Medici but ran a recent '1' — a win last time out — which is the strongest form in the field at face value, and Kathy Turner having a four-star runner suggests yard confidence heading into today.
ShortlistHouse Of Medici, Brocklesby Bill, Fiefdom