Winless in recent starts and has been disappointing across three outings — well down the field at Salisbury most recently — and needs a significant jump in form. The course and distance are not the issue, so the trainer will be hoping for a better showing.
Form last 60-70
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Dupont Circle's dismal form of 0-70, a lowly Saturday Rating of 23, and 28/1 odds signal no winning chance.
First-time blinkers applied and has experience over today's trip and going, with some decent form earlier in the season; but Fighting Poet made no impression when well beaten here most recently and is yet to score in recent starts. Must improve considerably to get involved.
Form last 6499-40
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 39, poor form (499-40), and 11/1 odds show Fighting Poet holds no market confidence.
First-time blinkers are interesting for Foinix and there is a placed effort within recent form over this sort of trip; acts on fast ground and handles the course. That said, the last four runs have all produced well-beaten efforts and more is clearly needed to contend.
Form last 627-877
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor form (27-877) and a low Saturday Rating of 45 make Foinix a weak 6/1 outsider.
In solid form prior to the latest — placed twice in the recent past — and handles today's going; first-time cheekpieces fitted and stays the trip. The concern is that Gearing's Point over-raced and weakened sharply at Leicester last time, so a more restrained approach will be needed.
Form last 6635258
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 50, inconsistent form (635258), and a mid-range 7/2 market price offer little confidence here.
Consistent form with placed efforts across recent starts and proven over today's going; yet to score but rarely far away and the profile is competitive in a race of this nature. The 102-day absence since Newcastle is the main unknown on return.
Form last 609-235
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
49SR—RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 49 and inconsistent form (09-235) at 9-9 weight justify mid-tier 3/1 market positioning.
A first-time visor prompted a clear step up last time when a close second at Yarmouth — the best effort in recent starts — and effective at 10f on slower ground; the headgear is retained today. The question is whether that uplift can be sustained.
Form last 60092
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 49 and form showing two zeros make Sweetstevie unconvincing despite a competitive 5/2 market price.
Well beaten at Windsor last time and has struggled for form across five recent outings; Dream Of Ithaca handles 10f and sound surfaces could help, but all to prove before this one can be taken seriously.
Form last 60-4558
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 45, weak 0-4558 form, and 11/1 odds outside the market suggest limited winning prospects.
A respected Irish yard and a top course jockey are positives, and Hello Garda is the type that may do better with experience. Three runs have all been modest so far, but there is reason to believe improvement is on the cards.
Form last 68-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Form reading 8-00 and a low Saturday Rating of 52 make Hello Garda a 7/1 outsider with little market confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sweetstevie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (27) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Patrick OwensJack Callan(3)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Highland Harvey
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Gihan Arnolda✓ Value Signal
Dupont Circle
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Craig Benton◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Highland Harvey (SR 49, 3/1) is the market leader with three-star AI probability — the strongest race-probability signal in the field — and recent form of 09-235 shows a clear upward trajectory, with a placed effort last time out confirming the horse is building toward a win. At 4 years old this is a horse at peak physical development, and the 1m3f198y trip on Good to Firm at Brighton suits a horse whose form has improved over staying distances. Although the SR field is tightly bunched in the 45-52 range, Highland Harvey's market confidence (shortened to 3/1 favourite) and the improving form arc set it apart from rivals who are either declining (Fighting Poet, age 8, form 499-40) or inconsistent (Sweetstevie, form 0092 with two blanks before the recent second).
Each-way alternative: Sweetstevie.
Main danger: Sweetstevie — Sweetstevie (SR 49, 5/2) is only fractionally off Highland Harvey's market price, shares the same SR, and the recent '2' finish — a runner-up placing — shows the horse is knocking on the door and could convert today at the shorter price.
ShortlistHighland Harvey, Sweetstevie, Gearing's Point