Naas 16:00 RESULTED
Class 1 23 Aug 2026

Sunday 23 August Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3)

Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3) · 0m5f205y

Official Result

Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Chantez (IRE) Gary Carroll · G M Lyons
    28/1
  2. 9/4
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chantez silks
Chantez
Age 4 · 9-7
38-544
91
77
96
4
9-7
40/1 16/1 28/1
Chantez showed clear promise with a third five starts back and arrives fresh after 32 days off, holding experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 96 marking her as a genuine danger; the risk is she remains yet to win in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
First Instinct silks
First Instinct
Age 4 · 9-7
10-902
105
111
109
4
9-7
2/1 3/2 32/17
First Instinct catches the eye with a second last time out and a win five starts back, and she has experience of both today's trip and going; at 133 lb from stall 4, the weight she shoulders is the key question mark.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Temperance silks
Temperance
Age 4 · 9-7
58-607
84
57
84
4
9-7
66/1 FCST 50/1
Winless in her last five starts, Temperance has run over today's trip and going before, but her recent form has been largely mid-to-rear, and carrying 133 lb from stall two leaves her with plenty to prove despite a speed rating of 87.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Treasure Rose silks
Treasure Rose
Age 4 · 9-7
221158
84
65
83
4
9-7
80/1 20/1 80/1
Ranked bottom but one on our figures and with an 8th last time out preceding a 5th the run before, Treasure Rose faces an uphill task, though she has run over today's trip and going, returns fit on a nine-day turnaround, and does boast two wins in her last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Dancing Saxon silks
Dancing Saxon
Age 3 · 9-4
6-1121
96
105
94
3
9-4
15/2 13/2 7/1
Dancing Saxon arrives on the back of three wins in her last five starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of today's distance and going; however, her 130 lb burden is a stiff ask, and our rating of 94 suggests she faces stronger rivals here.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Focaccia silks
Focaccia
Age 3 · 9-4
717828
78
57
81
3
9-4
150/1 40/1 100/1
Ranked bottom of eight on our figures, Focaccia has been inconsistent in recent starts, with an eighth last time out and only one win in her last six; a second two starts back offers slim encouragement, and she has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Havana Anna silks
Havana Anna
Age 3 · 9-4
20-147
108
113
109
3
9-4
5/2 32/17 5/2
Havana Anna shaped well when a winner three starts back, and she has experience of today's trip and going to call upon; the concern is that she has not recaptured that form in her last two outings, finishing seventh most recently.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Soul Love silks
Soul Love
Age 3 · 9-4
-19131
101
118
104
3
9-4
7/4 3/1 31/19
Soul Love arrives here with three wins in her last five starts, including a victory last time out, and she handles today's distance and going having tackled both before; carrying 130 lb from stall seven, she makes appeal on that profile.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chantez 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365
2 First Instinct 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 2/1 Bet365
3 Temperance 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 80/1 open 51.00 50/1 80/1 William Hill
4 Treasure Rose 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 23.00 100/1 open 23.00 80/1 open 23.00 100/1 William Hill
5 Dancing Saxon 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 Paddy Power
6 Focaccia 150/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 150/1 Bet365
7 Havana Anna 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 Bet365
8 Soul Love 7/4 open 5.00 13/8 open 5.50 13/8 open 4.00 13/8 open 4.00 7/4 open 4.00 13/8 open 4.00 7/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Soul Love

Live signal

Soul Love owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 K. R. Burke Pierre-Louis Jamin
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Havana Anna

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Chantez

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · G M Lyons
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Soul Love
66.0 7/4
2 7. Havana Anna
61.4 5/2
3 2. First Instinct
61.3 2/1
4 5. Dancing Saxon
57.7 15/2
5 1. Chantez
40.7 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Soul Love
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-4
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 118 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 4 · 9-7
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-4
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 113 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Soul Love
Confidence: Speculative

Soul Love (SR 118, 5/2) carries the joint-lowest weight at 9-4 and posts the highest SR in the field — a meaningful double advantage. The form string -19131 shows a horse that has won three of its last four completed starts and is arriving at the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=), meaning the handicapper has not punished recent success. Critically, the market has shortened 18% since opening, which is significant speculative money in an eight-runner Group 3 field, and both DistFit and GoingFit are confirmed positives on today's 5f205y trip and good ground. K.R. Burke's 19% career strike rate with Pierre-Louis Jamin (14%) is a sharp yard-jockey combination handling the cross-channel assignment with evident intent. Each-way alternative: Dancing Saxon. Main danger: Havana Anna — Havana Anna (SR 113, 5/2) is proven at today's trip and on today's going (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) and though the 17% drift is a concern, it is only 3lb off Soul Love on SR and shares the same light weight of 9-4, making it fully capable of reversing the market's current preference on the day.

Case against 4 clamped
  • First Instinct (SR 111, 7/4) is the market leader at significantly shorter odds and has a MarkMv of +5, suggesting the handicapper views it as on the upgrade — it is the one horse whose raw rating co…
  • The '1' in Soul Love's form string at position 2 (the '9' beside it) suggests a poor run sandwiched around wins — the '9' finish in recent form may indicate vulnerability under pressure or in competi…
  • Dancing Saxon (MarkMv:+16) has been raised 16lbs yet is still priced at 15/2 with market support (in 11%), implying handicapper and market both see it as potentially still ahead of its mark — a sharp…
  • Havana Anna (SR 113, 5/2) shares identical odds with Soul Love but has drifted 17% in the market, suggesting stable confidence is notably absent — yet its presence at the same price means the market…
Shortlist Soul Love, Havana Anna, Dancing Saxon, First Instinct
Each-way: Dancing Saxon Danger: Havana Anna

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m5f205y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade