Naas 16:30 RESULTED
23 Aug 2026

Sunday 23 August Big Evs At Tally-Ho Handicap

Big Evs At Tally-Ho Handicap · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Big Evs At Tally-Ho Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Steel Magnolia (IRE) W J Lee · W McCreery
    7/2J
  2. 11/1
  3. 33/1
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Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Aurora Nova silks
Aurora Nova
Age 7 · 10-2
035900
60
38
66
7
10-2
20/1 25/1 16/1
Winless in her last six starts, Aurora Nova nonetheless catches the eye with a third five starts back and a speed rating well clear of her official rating, suggesting she retains ability; the weight of 142 lb from stall 13 is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Dandy Land silks
Dandy Land
Age 4 · 10-2
-68321
60
60
61
4
10-2
11/2 10/3 5/1
SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Menwirr silks
Menwirr
Age 3 · 10-0
8-507
60
26
58
3
10-0
40/1 18/1 40/1
Winless in his last four starts and not seen out for 89 days, Menwirr faces a stiff task from stall nine carrying 140 lb, though he has run over today's trip before and that experience offers some small encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

4
Nebrook Star silks
Nebrook Star
Age 3 · 10-0
34-607
60
31
65
3
10-0
28/1 25/1 22/1
Winless in her last five starts, Nebrook Star at least has experience of today's trip and going to call upon, but recent form has trended the wrong way and she faces a stiff task from stall one carrying 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Tawaazon silks
Tawaazon
Age 8 · 9-13
029594
57
61
67
8
9-13
7/2 11/2 3/1
Tawaazon has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 67 — ten pounds clear of his official mark — flags him as a leading danger, with a second in recent starts suggesting he can threaten at his best; the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Gordon Bennett silks
Gordon Bennett
Age 8 · 9-12
6039-0
56
49
69
8
9-12
14/1 11/1 12/1
Ranked top of 19 by our rating, Gordon Bennett brings strong form credentials to this field, finishing third three starts back and unplaced 17 days ago with distance and going experience to call on; the risk is he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
I'm Spartacus silks
I'm Spartacus
Age 5 · 9-11
416048
55
47
69
5
9-11
10/1 15/2 9/1
Fresh from a 30-day break and with experience of today's trip and conditions, I'm Spartacus shaped with promise when fourth two starts back, and he showed what he can do when taking top honours five starts back; carrying 137 lb from stall 14 on a rating of 55, our figures suggest he merits plenty of respect here.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Pansy Poe silks
Pansy Poe
Age 5 · 9-11
70960-
55
26
58
5
9-11
40/1 10/1 33/1
Winless in her last five starts and returning after 331 days off, Pansy Poe faces a stiff ask, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 58 gives her a slim foothold in a competitive field.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Simmering Seas silks
Simmering Seas
Age 3 · 9-8
07-602
54
61
60
3
9-8
7/4 11/4 7/4
Simmering Seas shaped well when second last time out, but she remains winless in her last five starts and that sixth three starts back underlines her inconsistency; experience over today's trip and going gives her a foothold, though stall 12 and 134 lb are factors to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Smart Sioux silks
Smart Sioux
Age 3 · 9-8
090-07
54
28
62
3
9-8
66/1 25/1 66/1
Winless in her last five starts, Smart Sioux faces a stiff task from stall 10 carrying 134 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before and our rating of 62 suggests she holds more ability than her official mark implies.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

11
Hasiyna silks
Hasiyna
Age 6 · 9-6
1-2697
50
25
57
6
9-6
40/1 16/1 40/1
Hasiyna showed a second and a win in her recent starts, but a seventh last time out and 156 days off the track are clear concerns; she has run over today's trip and going before and carries 132 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

12
Whatswrongnow silks
Whatswrongnow
Age 5 · 9-6
026350
50
28
53
5
9-6
25/1 12/1 22/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 15 of 19 on our figures, Whatswrongnow faces a stiff ask from stall 19 carrying 132 lb, though experience over today's trip and going and a return to form shown by a third three starts back offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

13
Prada's World silks
Prada's World
Age 4 · 9-5
983/0-
49
28
57
4
9-5
50/1 20/1 50/1
Winless in her last four starts and absent for 484 days, Prada's World faces a stiff ask on her return, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a third two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

14
Amanirenas silks
Amanirenas
Age 7 · 9-4
58019-
48
33
62
7
9-4
40/1 14/1 28/1
Amanirenas won two starts back but has been out of the frame since, and 331 days off the track is a significant query on fitness; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 130 lb is no light burden, though a rating of 62 gives her something to work with.
AI verdict

SR 33 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Step Back In Time silks
Step Back In Time
Age 8 · 9-2
-00903
46
43
51
8
9-2
12/1 13/2 11/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked well down the field on our figures, Step Back In Time faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and comes into this a shade fresher after 20 days off.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Steel Magnolia silks
Steel Magnolia
Age 4 · 9-1
-43472
45
52
54
4
9-1
11/2 11/2 5/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 14th of 19 on our figures, Steel Magnolia faces a stiff task from stall 18 carrying 127 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and her second last time out shows she retains some ability.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Little Roy silks
Little Roy
Age 3 · 8-13
609
45
20
44
3
8-13
66/1 28/1 66/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Little Roy faces a stiff ask here; 70 days off the track does little to inspire confidence, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

18
Niobite silks
Niobite
Age 3 · 8-11
0000
43
19
39
3
8-11
80/1 FCST 50/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Niobite faces a stiff task from stall 17, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a manageable 30-day break.
AI verdict

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

19
Lismacbryan silks
Lismacbryan
Age 5 · 8-10
580-07
40
24
46
5
8-10
100/1 FCST 50/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, Lismacbryan makes the most of an 87-day absence hard to assess, though she has run over today's trip and going before and carries a manageable 122 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Aurora Nova 20/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 26.00 22/1 William Hill
2 Dandy Land 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Menwirr 40/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 Paddy Power
4 Nebrook Star 28/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 22/1 open 29.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Tawaazon 7/2 open 8.50 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 7/2 Bet365
6 Gordon Bennett 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 15.00 16/1 William Hill
7 I'm Spartacus 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
8 Pansy Poe 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Simmering Seas 7/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 Paddy Power
10 Smart Sioux 66/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 Paddy Power
11 Hasiyna 40/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 Paddy Power
12 Whatswrongnow 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
13 Prada's World 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Bet365
14 Amanirenas 40/1 open 23.00 30/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365
15 Step Back In Time 12/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 William Hill
16 Steel Magnolia 11/2 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 11/2 11/2 Bet365
17 Little Roy 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
18 Niobite 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 80/1 Bet365
19 Lismacbryan 100/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Simmering Seas

Speculative

Simmering Seas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Daniel James Murphy Terry Casey(7)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tawaazon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · John Andrew Kinsella
✓ Value Signal

Little Roy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Gillian Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Simmering Seas
47.7 7/4
2 5. Tawaazon
46.5 7/2
3 16. Steel Magnolia
45.6 11/2
4 2. Dandy Land
45.2 11/2
5 7. I'm Spartacus
40.2 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Simmering Seas
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-8
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 9-13
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 10-2
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 4 · 9-1
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-11
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 8 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 9-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

1
Age 7 · 10-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Simmering Seas
Confidence: Speculative

Simmering Seas (SR:61, 6/4) shares the field's joint-highest SR alongside Tawaazon and Dandy Land but carries the lightest weight of those three at 9-8, a meaningful edge in a 19-runner sprint handicap. The market has backed it in 20% since opening, confirming confidence from connections, and Daniel James Murphy's stable runs at a solid 11% strike rate. The form string 07-602 shows a recent runner-up finish and the horse is only 9 days since last run, suggesting a horse in a racing routine and ready to go. The main concern is DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, meaning proven struggles at this trip and on good ground — but the SR lead, weight advantage over rivals, and strong market drift inward make it the most defensible selection in a wide-open field. Each-way alternative: Tawaazon. Main danger: Tawaazon — Tawaazon (SR:61, 4/1) matches Simmering Seas on SR, has steamed in 41% in the market — the strongest inbound move in the field — and carries only 1lb more at 9-13, with course form (W0P1) at Naas that Simmering Seas lacks, though the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- tags are a genuine concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are both flagged negative — Simmering Seas has not proven its ability at this trip on good ground, two simultaneous unknowns in a 19-runner sprint handicap.
  • Form string 07-602 shows only one runner-up and otherwise modest finishes including a 0 last time; the recent proximity to form may flatter a horse that finished sixth or worse in most starts.
  • Jockey Terry Casey (7lb claimer) has only a 10% strike rate from 41 rides — below the level of rival riders such as W J Lee (14%) and Chris Hayes (11%) on horses with competitive SRs.
  • Tawaazon matches on SR:61 at 4/1, has a Course:W0P1 record at Naas giving proven course form, and has backed in 41% — yet is sent off at nearly triple the odds, suggesting the market may be overcooki…
Shortlist Simmering Seas, Tawaazon, Dandy Land, Steel Magnolia
Each-way: Tawaazon Danger: Tawaazon

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting