Third last time out and a winner twice in her last five starts, Alice Monet returns on a handy 18-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going; drawn in stall one carrying 140 lb, she merits respect on recent form.
Form last 61149-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR95RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Port Of Spain has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating places him ahead of his rivals in this field, making him a genuine top threat despite being winless in his last five starts; the concern is a career-high 138 lb in the saddle.
Form last 637-507
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR99RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her proven conditions to build on; however, she carries 126 lb from stall seven and her trainer is in a lean spell at just 1/29 over the past fortnight, which tempers enthusiasm somewhat.
Form last 6318751
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed once in recent starts but winless in her last five, Ob La Di has run over today's trip and going before and steps back up after 38 days off; the second last time out offers encouragement, though her overall profile leaves her with plenty to prove from stall six carrying 126 lb.
Form last 6-04852
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR85RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts, Akecheta nonetheless catches the eye on a rating of 90 — well clear of her official mark of 81 — carrying 125 lb from stall two, and she has run over today's trip and going before, back quickly after just 16 days; the risk is that her recent finishes give little encouragement.
Form last 6006577
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR90RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Rated well below her official mark on our figures and ranked near the foot of the field, Guardian Of Realm is hard to fancy at a 87-day absence, though her win in her last five starts and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement.
Form last 6322-61
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR78RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mocking won four starts back but has since finished sixth twice and fourth last time out, so consistency is the question mark; he has run over today's trip and going, and 62 days off means fitness is unproven, though our rating of 86, fifth of ten, offers some encouragement from stall nine off 124 lb.
Form last 601-664
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR86RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Minella Rockett won last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a clear danger from stall three on 121 lb; the worry is whether that recent winning form can be replicated stepping into stronger company.
Form last 632-451
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR88RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, with a string of mid-pack finishes and a speed rating of 73 that leaves him well below the principals on our figures, Quatre Bras is hard to fancy; though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround of just eight days.
Form last 6088446
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, with placings no better than fifth, Speckled Meadow faces a stiff task ranked last on our figures, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a fresh 24-day break.
Form last 6-86569
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR77RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Minella Rockett owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3John J NallenReese Holohan(7)
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ob La Di
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · J P Murtagh✓ Value Signal
Speckled Meadow
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Don Browne◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Minella Rockett (SR 99, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by 8 points over Guardian Of Realm, carrying a featherweight 8-9 — the lightest viable weight in the race — which is a significant physical edge over Diamond Exchange (9-0) and Alice Monet (10-0). The form figure '32-451' resolves to a last-run win, confirming peak fitness on good going (GoingFit:+), and trainer John J Nallen runs a tight operation (12% strike rate from just 43 runners, indicating selective entries). The MarkMv:+5 is a mild negative but the weight and SR advantage more than compensate; the apprentice Holohan claiming further offsets any mark rise.
Each-way alternative: Guardian Of Realm.
Main danger: Guardian Of Realm — Guardian Of Realm (SR 91, 15/2) is steaming in the market at Mkt:in14%, carries the lightest weight of the leading trio at 8-13, has confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and a last-run win ('322-61') with a long 87-day gap that may actually signal a prep for this specific target.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+5 means Minella Rockett runs off a higher mark than when winning last time, and the handicapper has already reassessed — the apprentice's 7lb claim only partially offsets this rise for a hors…
Trainer John J Nallen has just 43 runners in the sample (12% SR), making the strike rate statistically fragile; small-yard horses stepping up in visibility at Naas often underperform market expectati…
Guardian Of Realm (SR 91, MarkMv:+12) is drifting on a big mark rise but is shortening 14% in the market today — a sharply moving rival at 15/2 suggests informed money is against Minella Rockett's fa…
Form sequence '32-451' shows a last-run win but also a mid-sequence fade to 4th and 5th; at 3yo dropping into a mixed-age handicap with proven older rivals like Diamond Exchange (form 318751, last-ru…
ShortlistMinella Rockett, Guardian Of Realm, Diamond Exchange
Each-way: Guardian Of RealmDanger: Guardian Of Realm