Coastguard Station shaped well two starts back when second, and his rating of 130 ranks him second among ten rivals here; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 170 lb, though he remains winless in his last five starts and that sixth last time out is the concern.
Form last 662-426
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
96SR130RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Homme Public is the top-rated runner on our figures and arrives 36 days fresh, having shaped with promise when third two starts back, though he remains winless in his last five starts. Carrying 169 lb, he has run over today's trip and going before and looks the one to beat.
Form last 660P-30
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR143RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Pep Talking won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he has been off 39 days and carries 165 lb, which tests his consistency; a solid recent record of two wins in his last five starts makes him a genuine contender, though ranked sixth of ten on our rating.
Form last 621-221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR115RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
At The Oche arrives in fine fettle after a win last time out, backed by placed efforts in three of his four starts before that, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the 165 lb burden is the chief concern for a gelding rated 116.
Form last 65222-1
★AI Rating★★★★☆
120SR116RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 120 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.
Consistent if winless in recent starts, Court In A Storm brings solid placed form to this contest and has experience of today's distance and going, with our rating of 120 marking him out as a leading contender; the concern is he must carry 164 lb.
Form last 643-245
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR120RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Imperial Bede showed a win in his last five starts but has since posted a fifth and a fourth, and at 71 days between runs there is a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and 158 lb is no lightweight burden.
Form last 6152-54
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR115RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Mix Of Clover faces a stiff ask, though he does bring winning form — a victory last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, offering some small crumbs of comfort for each-way hopes.
Form last 61P-331
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR109RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with a string of placed efforts masking a frustrating inability to get his head in front, Little Ledgend ranks ninth of ten on our figures and carries a hefty 155 lb; experience over today's trip and going offers slim consolation.
Form last 6223-22
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR109RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Doyouknowwhatimean shaped with promise when third three starts back, and our rating of 121 marks him out as a serious threat from a field of ten despite a 153 lb burden; the main risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 6P-P364
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR121RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Hudson is hard to fancy here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a manageable 28-day break, albeit carrying a hefty 150 lb.
Form last 647-U84
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR112RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
At The Oche owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/6Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton
79%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Little Ledgend
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Olly Murphy✓ Value Signal
Homme Public
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
At The Oche (SR 120, 5/4) is the clear class leader in this field — his SR of 120 stands 7 points clear of the next best, Pep Talking (SR 114), and he carries 11-11, giving him a weight advantage over top-weight Coastguard Station (12-2). His form string of 5222-1 shows a progressive young 5-year-old who broke through for a win last time out at the same class (ClassMv:=), and the market has already told the story: a 21% inward move to 5/4 from a Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination that fires at 21%/27% respectively — one of the most powerful dual-handler pairings in jump racing. Running off a mark +9 above his last win is the only caveat, but the SR advantage and momentum of the yard make this a compelling case.
Each-way alternative: Little Ledgend.
Main danger: Little Ledgend — Little Ledgend (SR 113, 3/1) has shortened 12% in the market, is partnered by Sean Bowen (23% strike rate), and Olly Murphy's yard fires at 20% — a consistent '223-22' form line shows a horse that keeps finding the frame and could outrun a mark that has yet to be tested at this trip.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Running off a mark +9 above his last winning mark is a significant handicap rise for a horse who has been placed four times without winning before finally breaking through — the assessor may have him…
Little Ledgend (SR 113, 3/1) is unbeaten in two starts at Worcester and is backed at 3/1 with the powerful Olly Murphy/Sean Bowen combination — a course specialist who could be ideally placed at this…
Pep Talking's form string 21-221 shows consistent placed form and is drifting only modestly (out 23%), suggesting no strong market intelligence against him at 13/2 as a genuine rival at 6pts lower ma…
At The Oche has no headgear recorded and is a 5yo with only one career win — the sole victory last time may have flattered a field weaker than today's, and the +9 mark rise into a competitive handica…
ShortlistAt The Oche, Little Ledgend, Pep Talking, Court In A Storm