A winner two starts back and experience over today's trip and going in his favour, Charlie Brow'n looks a leading danger carrying 142 lb; the chief concern is a 181-day absence, which leaves fitness the key question.
Form last 635515-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Reflectionist won last time out to arrive here in form, and has run over today's trip and going before, but three unplaced efforts in the four starts preceding that victory give the overall picture a patchy look at a competitive 60 mark.
Form last 6080/01
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in recent starts, Young Churchill nonetheless shaped with promise when third two runs back, and he returns here after 21 days off having run over today's trip and going before — his rating of 73 makes him one to note at the weights carrying 142 lb.
Form last 60-7037
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Eastern Wind does at least own a second three starts back to suggest she retains some ability, though eighth and sixth since then are harder to ignore; carrying 136 lb on today's trip and going she has experienced before, she appeals as a midfield proposition at best.
Form last 6-56286
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Winless in her last five starts and not seen out for 86 days, Think About It returns with plenty to prove; she has run over today's going before, but a burden of 136 lb makes life harder still for a filly ranked ninth of seventeen.
Form last 69-8057
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Deluca Chop has winning form in his last six starts — a winner last time out and two starts back — though 46 days off the track is a fitness query, and his ranking of 12th in the field gives him plenty to find against stronger rivals.
Form last 6233211
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without Love has placed four times in his last six starts — second on each of his two most recent outings — but ranked 14th of 17 on our figures, he faces a stiff ask against stronger company here, however his current form and going experience offer slim crumbs of encouragement.
Form last 6134022
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Maxwell Smart does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 24 days since his last run suggests he arrives fresh — though 132 lb and an official rating of 50 make it hard to see him threatening from midfield.
Form last 6-39658
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mystic Rose arrives here 24 days fresh and has run over today's trip and going, though she remains yet to win in her last six starts — a third last time out offers mild encouragement, but a pair of fifths and a seventh in between tempers expectations for this lightly tested filly.
Form last 6407553
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and returning after a 273-day absence, Wungudi faces a stiff ask ranked 13 of 17 on our figures; a ninth last time out does little to inspire confidence, though she has run over today's going before.
Form last 6500/9-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in his last five starts and returning from a 128-day absence, Anightaway is hard to fancy on these figures — ranked last of the 17 runners — though he has run over today's going before and that offers a slim foothold.
Form last 6000-08
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 16 of 17 on our figures, Piatra Neamt faces a stiff ask after 79 days off; going experience at least counts in her favour, but her recent record offers little encouragement.
Form last 660-005
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes no better than seventh in recent outings, Plus Or Minus cuts a frustrating figure; he does have experience over today's trip and conditions, but ranked 15 of 17 on our figures, it's hard to make a compelling case.
Form last 6790-78
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Autocrat's win six starts back gives him a proven winning benchmark, and he arrives on a sharp 16-day turnaround having run over today's trip and going — our rating of 75 marks him as the top-rated runner in the field; the risk is his unplaced efforts in the interim.
Form last 6170009
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR—RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Kings Gesture carries 132 lb off an official mark of 50, though our rating of 62 suggests he retains more ability than recent unplaced efforts imply; a return to form could see him competitive here.
Form last 65-8000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Preparations has nonetheless shown enough in recent form to command respect — she has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 65 suggests she holds untapped potential. The risk is that a fourth is her best recent finish.
Form last 6047-06
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Deluca Chop owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1S M DuffyPatrick McGettigan(5)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Reflectionist
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Mark Fahey✓ Value Signal
Plus Or Minus
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · P A Fahy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Deluca Chop (SR:63, 9/2) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in a modest field, carrying a manageable 9-8 with a form string of 233211 — three wins and consistent placed efforts showing genuine progression at this level. The GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles good ground, and the visor headgear has clearly been working with two recent wins. The MarkMv:+6 is a modest rise that the SR margin over rivals can easily absorb; the nearest challenger on SR is Reflectionist at 57, a full 6 points adrift. Trainer S M Duffy's 6% yard strike rate is modest but this is clearly the stable's #1 runner given the form line, SR advantage, and jockey booking of Patrick McGettigan (5).
Each-way alternative: Reflectionist.
Main danger: Maxwell Smart — Maxwell Smart (SR:50, 7/1) has steamed in 20% since opening — the strongest market move in the field — and carries only 9-6 for McCourt's yard with moderate distance and going fits (both ~), suggesting connections believe this is a live each-way shout at a decent price.