Brighton 14:30 RESULTED
Class 6 5 Aug 2026

Wednesday 5 August Jenningsbet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Stakes

Jenningsbet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Stakes · 0m5f215y

Official Result

Jenningsbet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cape Toronada (FR) William Carson · Tony Carroll
    11/8F
  2. 13/2
  3. 100/30
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Love Alive silks
Love Alive
Age 3 · 9-9
596303
61
68
61OR
3
9-9
5/2
Twice third in her last six starts, Love Alive has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 65 just edges this field of five — the main concern is that she remains winless in recent starts despite those placing efforts.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Havana Jag silks
Havana Jag
Age 3 · 9-7
344423
59
66
59OR
3
9-7
7/2 FCST 3/1
Havana Jag has been a model of consistency, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, and she has experience of today's distance and going — the main concern is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Cape Toronada silks
Cape Toronada
Age 3 · 9-7
-64214
59
71
59OR
3
9-7
6/4 FCST 3/2
Cape Toronada won two starts back but has finished fourth on her two most recent outings, and her speed rating of 54 leaves her well below the level needed to trouble these rivals. She has run over today's trip and going, and stall one is hers, but she heads into this ranked last of five on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Mister Moet silks
Mister Moet
Age 3 · 9-6
210624
58
59
58OR
3
9-6
17/2 5/1 17/2
Mister Moet caught the eye with a second two starts back and brings a win five starts back into the equation; he has run over today's trip and going, and at 132 lb from stall four, the 15-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh and ready.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Beach Partee silks
Beach Partee
Age 3 · 9-4
854644
56
58
56OR
3
9-4
11/1 9/1 10/1
Beach Partee has run over today's trip and going, holds a 62 rating against an official mark of 56, and returns fit on 21 days' rest from stall two — making him a live danger on these terms; the concern is he's winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Love Alive 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 Bet365
2 Havana Jag 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 Bet365
3 Cape Toronada 6/4 open 3.00 6/4 6/4 6/4 6/4 6/4 Bet365
4 Mister Moet 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Coral
5 Beach Partee 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 10/1 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cape Toronada

Speculative

Cape Toronada owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Tony Carroll William Carson
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Love Alive

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · John Butler
✓ Value Signal

Beach Partee

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Scott Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Cape Toronada
56.0 6/4
2 1. Love Alive
51.8 5/2
3 2. Havana Jag
50.6 7/2
4 5. Beach Partee
44.8 11/1
5 4. Mister Moet
44.5 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cape Toronada
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-7
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cape Toronada
Confidence: Medium

Cape Toronada leads the field on SR (71) and is the market favourite at 6/4, reflecting genuine ability at this Class 6 level. The course form of W1P1 at Brighton is a concrete positive — Brighton's unique undulating track favours horses who have already navigated it successfully. The MarkMv:+6 is the main concern, but at Class 6 with an SR margin over the field, that penalty is manageable. Tony Carroll's 13% strike rate is solid for this grade and William Carson knows the Brighton track well. Each-way alternative: Havana Jag. Main danger: Havana Jag — Havana Jag carries DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — both proven positives for today's conditions — and at 4/1 offers each-way value, though the 11% market drift is a concern that keeps it off the top spot.

Shortlist Cape Toronada, Love Alive, Havana Jag
Each-way: Havana Jag Danger: Havana Jag

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m5f215y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Brighton Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade