Guinness Handicap · 1m5f103y
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Chicago Moon | 5/2 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 9/4 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Mare Crisium | 14/1 open 9.50 | — | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 Coral |
| 3 Private Larry | 5/2 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 | 11/4 Coral |
| 4 Sonny Corleone | 9/1 open 9.00 | — | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Cascade Canyon | 22/1 open 29.00 | — | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Queen Of Astolat | 9/1 | — | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Grey Intentions | 16/1 open 26.00 | — | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Ellens Bay | 50/1 open 29.00 | — | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Elzaam Express | 33/1 open 21.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 10 Curious Jane | 18/1 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Canon Law | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Chicago Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Chicago Moon (SR 67, 11/4) shares the top SR in the field alongside Private Larry but carries 10-0 — heavier than Private Larry's 9-11 — yet has the significant advantage of a De Bromhead yard operating at 14% with W J Lee aboard at the same strike rate, a pairing that commands respect. The recent form figure of '1' (last run win, 23 days ago) is the most compelling data point in the field and directly outweighs Private Larry's last run of '1' which came off a sequence of '000881' — a horse only just finding its feet. The main concern is the 14% market drift and a mark now 9lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+9), but in this modest, SR-compressed field (no rival above SR 67, most below 55), the form-line quality of a recent winner from a top yard is the strongest single combination of signals available. GoingFit:~ is manageable on good ground and the DistFit:? is shared by almost every runner here, levelling that uncertainty across the field. Each-way alternative: Canon Law. Main danger: Private Larry — Private Larry (SR 67, 11/4) matches Chicago Moon's SR, carries 3lb less at 9-11, and the GoingFit:+ rating on today's good going is the only confirmed going affinity in the entire field — if that edge proves decisive over 1m5f, it can overcome the step up in class implied by MarkMv:+11.