Back-to-back wins give The Good Biscuit strong recent form, and just ten days between runs suggests he's in good heart right now. He has run over today's trip and going before, and carries 138 lb from stall one.
Form last 6284411
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Alfa Whiteburd arrives in cracking nick — a winner two starts back and again last time out, 19 days ago — and has experience over today's trip and conditions; the chief worry is his trainer's dire recent strike-rate of just 4%.
Form last 6-68211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Twice placed two starts back and three starts back, Aberama Gold arrives on the back of a quick 12-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going, and our rating just edges him ahead of his rivals — the risk is he's yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6035220
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Uppercase lands two recent wins, but our figures place him well below the top end of this field, and a ninth and seventh also lurk in his last five starts. Has run over today's trip and going, and 20 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 67-9311
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mae Amor brings experience over today's trip and going, and a win in her last five starts — that victory coming five starts back — alongside a rating of 82 suggesting she retains ability; the concern is her recent sequence of a fourth, sixth and ninth that hints she may need to recapture that earlier form.
Form last 6-10964
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out tempers the appeal despite a second two starts back, and his trainer is winless in 22 attempts over the past fortnight; Emperor Caradoc has run over today's trip and going, but that cold yard is the concern for the 130 lb he carries from stall nine.
Form last 6135624
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Mister Sox does at least carry experience of today's trip and conditions, and a third and second in recent starts show he can get competitive — but back-to-back unplaced efforts latest and a trainer firing at just 4% make confidence hard to muster from stall 4 off 129 lb.
Form last 6703200
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten out of the places last time after winning two starts back, Sugar Baby faces a stiff task ranked bottom of nine on our figures, and his overall recent profile — fifth, seventh, and eighth also in the mix — makes him hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6-87510
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Willolarupi has shown a shade of consistency — third two starts back — but has been largely mired in mid-to-lower-field finishes, and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, he faces a stiff ask here despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 66553-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alfa Whiteburd owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Ivan FurtadoJason Hart
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
The Good Biscuit
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Ruth Carr✓ Value Signal
Sugar Baby
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Peter Niven◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
The Good Biscuit (SR 83, 4/1) carries top weight at 9-12 but compensates with unrivalled course form — W3P4 at Pontefract is a powerful specialist record that no rival comes close to matching, and a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground reinforces suitability. The form string 284411 reads right-to-left as back-to-back wins most recently, indicating peak form right now. Ruth Carr and Joanna Mason are a proven local partnership, and while the market has drifted 11%, that drift is likely weight-related rather than a negative stable signal — the horse is running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=) which removes the concern of a punitive rise. The drift on Uppercase (14%) and Alfa Whiteburd (8%) despite their shorter prices also redirects attention back here at a workable each-way price.
Each-way alternative: Uppercase.
Main danger: Alfa Whiteburd — Alfa Whiteburd (SR 88, 3/1) has the highest SR in the field and back-to-back wins in recent form (-68211), and at 9lb lighter than The Good Biscuit the weight advantage is tangible, though the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 12lb above last win (MarkMv:+12) represent real headwinds.
ShortlistThe Good Biscuit, Alfa Whiteburd, Uppercase