Sligo 18:00 RESULTED
5 Aug 2026

Wednesday 5 August Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap · 1m2f129y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Thatwilldoso (IRE) Rory Cleary · Kevin Thomas Coleman
    13/8F
  2. 11/4
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alice Monet silks
Alice Monet
Age 4 · 10-0
41149-
96
88
96OR
4
10-0
4/1 11/4 4/1
Alice Monet brings back-to-back wins in her recent form and has run over today's distance and going, while our rating has her clear of her five rivals — the lengthy absence of 313 days is the only query, though she lines up from stall 2 carrying 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Chica Guerrera silks
Chica Guerrera
Age 4 · 9-11
024310
93
95
93OR
4
9-11
4/1 7/1 4/1
Chica Guerrera landed a win two starts back and posted a third three starts back, showing consistent ability at this level, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions. The main risk is her unplaced effort last time, just five days ago.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Cornelienne silks
Cornelienne
Age 5 · 9-10
312/0-
92
88
92OR
5
9-10
9/2 7/2 4/1
Cornelienne showed her class with a win and two minor placings in her last four starts, and her official mark of 92 underlines her credentials as a serious threat here; the main concern is a 203-day absence, which leaves fitness the key question.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Spanish Temptress silks
Spanish Temptress
Age 4 · 9-6
202412
88
94
88OR
4
9-6
4/1 4/1 7/2
Spanish Temptress arrives in fine fettle — placed four times in her last six starts, including a win two starts back, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions. The main risk is her rating of 88 against a 94-rated profile that suggests she may need to find more.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Thatwilldoso silks
Thatwilldoso
Age 5 · 8-10
-90512
78
90
78OR
5
8-10
2/1 9/4 2/1
Thatwilldoso shaped well last time out and was a winner two starts back, but she ranks fifth of six on our figures and is hard to fancy at the bottom of the weights; the four-day turnaround adds a further question mark.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Eastern Peace silks
Eastern Peace
Age 4 · 8-7
19-305
70
66
70OR
4
8-7
SP 11/1 12/1
Ranked bottom of the six on our figures, Eastern Peace faces a stiff ask, with a fifth last time out and an unplaced effort two starts back doing little to inspire confidence — the trainer's run of 0/26 in the last 14 days is a further damper, despite her having distance and going experience.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alice Monet 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
2 Chica Guerrera 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Cornelienne 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
4 Spanish Temptress 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 Bet365
5 Thatwilldoso 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 Bet365
6 Eastern Peace 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thatwilldoso

Speculative

Thatwilldoso owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Kevin Thomas Coleman Rory Cleary
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Spanish Temptress

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Richard John O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Eastern Peace

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · Ross O'Sullivan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Thatwilldoso
58.5 2/1
2 4. Spanish Temptress
58.4 4/1
3 2. Chica Guerrera
57.4 4/1
4 3. Cornelienne
54.6 9/2
5 1. Alice Monet
52.3 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chica Guerrera
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 8-10
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-11
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chica Guerrera
Confidence: Medium

Chica Guerrera (SR 95, 5/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a workable 9-11, giving her a 3lb advantage over Spanish Temptress (SR 94) on a marginally inferior rating. The defining signal here is the 36% market contraction from opening — the sharpest move in the race by a significant margin — on a horse who ran just 5 days ago, suggesting connections and informed money are bullish about a quick turnaround. Form reading 024310 shows a win last time out (rightmost digit = 0, but reading correctly: last run = 0, penultimate = 1, prior = 3 — the sequence ending in a recent victory and consistent competitive efforts), and Fahey at 13% strike rate is a solid operator. The MarkMv:+14 warrants respect as a risk factor, but the SR leadership combined with the dramatic market support overrides that concern in a moderate six-runner field. Each-way alternative: Spanish Temptress. Main danger: Spanish Temptress — Spanish Temptress (SR 94, 9/2) carries only 9-6 — 5lb less than Chica Guerrera — has run within the last 22 days showing a 202412 form string with a recent second, and W J Lee at 14% strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field.

Shortlist Chica Guerrera, Spanish Temptress, Thatwilldoso
Each-way: Spanish Temptress Danger: Spanish Temptress

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f129y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Sligo Track and setting