Tatianna arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her solid grounding for this test; the main concern is whether she can reproduce that form from stall 11 carrying 143 lb.
Form last 63761
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR—RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third three starts back gives Hi Corbett Court a form line worth noting, and he returns fit on 12 days' rest having run over today's trip and going before; winless in his last three, but his rating of 88 marks him as the one to beat from stall 1 carrying 139 lb.
Form last 6305
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 5/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts, Two Brigade has run over today's trip and going before, but his rating of 67 leaves him needing to find improvement; the 33-day break at least suggests connections have had time to work on his recent string of mid-pack finishes.
Form last 6856
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, with a pair of sixth-place finishes the best he can offer recently, The Drambling Man faces an uphill task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 74 gives him a slight edge over his official mark, but consistency remains the concern.
Form last 66969
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Fine Line faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and returns on a quick turnaround of just eight days.
Form last 6000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last three starts, No Time Faults at least has experience of today's distance and going to call on; she carries 132 lb from stall seven, and while our rating of 74 suggests she holds some ability, those three recent unplaced efforts are hard to overlook.
Form last 6600
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last four starts, Woodlawn Lily nonetheless catches the eye on fitness — just 17 days since her last outing — and she has run over today's distance and going before, while our rating of 76 suggests she merits serious respect at this level; the risk is that her recent form has been consistently mid-division.
Form last 64675
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ran a solid third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a strong platform to threaten here; the main risk is that he remains winless in his last four starts.
Form last 65703
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last three starts, with a run of eighths and a ninth doing little to inspire confidence, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 17-day turnaround; at 125 lb from stall 13, she faces a stiff task to reverse that recent slide.
Form last 6988
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last three starts, Exchange Student faces a stiff task from stall nine carrying 124 lb, and her ranking of 11th of 13 on our figures makes her hard to fancy — though she has run over today's trip and going before, and 14 days between runs leaves her fresh.
Form last 6700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last three starts, with an unplaced effort 13 days ago doing little to inspire confidence, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a drop to stall three could be worth noting — her rating of 66 suggests more ability than her recent form shows.
Form last 6790
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last three starts, all ending in defeat, Littlepacer faces a stiff task ranked 12 of 13 on our figures; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 14 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
Form last 6800
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last three starts, the most recent an unplaced effort 47 days ago, Sophia Royale faces a stiff task here — our figures rank her last of 13, and while she has run over today's trip, there is little in recent form to inspire confidence from stall 12 off 119 lb.
Form last 6070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mr Montauk owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Joseph Patrick O'BrienDylan Browne McMonagle
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Hi Corbett Court
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/4 · P Twomey✓ Value Signal
The Drambling Man
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Kevin Thomas Coleman◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hi Corbett Court (SR:67, 5/2) is the second-ranked horse on SR but the one with the most credible combination of signals: trained by Pat Twomey (24% strike rate, 227 runners — comfortably the best trainer in the field), ridden by W J Lee (14%, 736 runners — the most accomplished jockey booking on the card), and has shortened 5% in the market despite an apparent underdog price. Carrying 9-13, only 4lb more than Tatianna despite holding a 3-SR deficit, and the tongue-tie addition is a classic Twomey 'switch-on' move for a horse showing signs of ability (form reads 305 — finished 3rd on debut before slipping back). The market drift on Tatianna (out 21%) and Mr Montauk (out 11%, GoingFit:-) removes the two closest rivals. Twomey at 24% strike rate with a jockey of Lee's calibre in a €7,200 nursery at Sligo is not a combination to ignore.
Each-way alternative: Tatianna.
Main danger: Mr Montauk — Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16%) and Dylan Browne McMonagle (16%) are the highest-rated connections partnership in the race and the SR:64 is third in the field — if the GoingFit:- is overstated or conditions ride better than expected, he has the class to reel off a winning run.