Charles Kickham has run over today's going before and returns in good time at 19 days, carrying 164 lb as the top-rated runner in this field of 17; yet to score in his last two starts, but his rating of 84 makes him the one to beat here.
Form last 684
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
124SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 124 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Conor'salwaysright steps onto the track for the first time carrying 164 lb, entirely unexposed and with his ceiling completely unknown — an open-to-improvement debutant who could be anything.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Debut gelding Georges Park steps into the unknown here, entirely unexposed and open to any amount of improvement; carrying 164 lb on his first start, the bare potential has simply yet to be seen.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hidden Empire makes his debut carrying 164 lb — completely unexposed and with everything unknown, he's the quintessential open book, capable of anything on first asking.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hot Rock Harry is unexposed after just two starts and remains open to improvement, but he arrives winless in recent starts, his trainer is without a strike in the last fortnight, and he shoulders a hefty 164 lb.
Form last 675
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in recent starts, Inishtearaght nevertheless catches the eye on going experience and fitness — 19 days since his last run suggests he arrives in solid nick — while our rating of 82 ranks him second of 17; the single concern is that fifth last time out leaves something to prove.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
141SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unexposed after just the one start, Iron Sword returns from 59 days off yet to score and carrying 164 lb, but with so little exposed, improvement looks well within reach.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
148SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lonelyharbourwall makes his debut carrying 164 lb, wholly unexposed and with everything still to learn — an open book who could be anything as connections get their first look at him on a racecourse.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
142SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed second last time out, Mountain Sky is unexposed and open to improvement after just two recent starts; yet to score, but that runner-up effort hints at ability, and he returns fresh on 33 days' rest carrying 164 lb.
Form last 652
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
147SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mr Enigma showed up third last time out and, lightly raced, remains open to improvement. Returning after 31 days and carrying 164 lb, he is yet to win in recent starts but that third gives him a platform to build on.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
143SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rocky Alfonso makes his debut carrying 164 lb — unraced and an unknown quantity, but that unexposed profile leaves plenty of room for improvement on whatever he shows here.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
147SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Teddy Jones makes his debut carrying 164 lb, completely unexposed and with everything still to prove — a maiden slate leaves him open to improvement, and first-time watchers will be keen to see what he shows.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Throwmedownsomthin steps back up after 19 days and has experience of today's going, with our rating placing him third among the 17 runners — a solid threat. The single concern is that he comes here yet to score, with only a seventh last time out to show in recent starts.
Form last 67
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
122SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last two starts and returning after a 273-day absence, Wee Fallon remains unexposed and open to considerable improvement; lightly raced, he could have more to offer carrying 164 lb here.
Form last 687-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
121SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 121 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
She Means Business makes her racecourse debut here carrying 157 lb — unraced and entirely unexposed, she's an unknown quantity with everything still to prove and potentially significant improvement ahead.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
147SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kippersandcustard makes his debut carrying 164 lb, wholly unexposed and open to any amount of improvement — a blank slate with everything still to prove and potentially to offer.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Iron Sword owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Andrew SlatteryMr A P Ryan(5)
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mountain Sky
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Gerard O'Leary✓ Value Signal
Charles Kickham
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Kieran Purcell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Iron Sword (SR:148, 4/1) is the highest-rated runner with actual form figures, and crucially is the only horse in the field showing meaningful market support — steaming in 10% since opening. In a 17-runner flat race dominated by unraced or lightly-raced maidens, that combination of SR edge and money-backing is compelling. Jockey Mr A P Ryan carries a 21% strike rate from 95 rides, comfortably the strongest jockey booking in the race. The 59-day absence is the main risk, but the market shortening suggests connections are confident he returns in good order.
Each-way alternative: Rocky Alfonso.
Main danger: Rocky Alfonso — Rocky Alfonso (SR:147, 5/1) is unraced so carries unknown upside, is trained by S Curling (14% strike rate — the best trainer strike rate among the fancied runners), and has steamed in 14% in the market — the strongest inward move in the entire field — suggesting connections have strong home impressions to back.
ShortlistIron Sword, Rocky Alfonso, Lola O C, Mountain Sky