Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 7f80y
Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 128 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Perfect Nation | 11/10 open 2.25 | — | 6/5 open 2.25 | 6/5 open 2.25 | 6/5 open 2.38 | 5/4 | 5/4 Betfred |
| 2 Artemis Star | 22/1 open 13.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Avionics | 10/3 open 3.25 | — | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 2/1 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 First Mate | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 George Cross | 7/1 open 7.00 | — | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Midgham Man | 13/2 open 9.50 | — | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 | 15/2 Betfred |
| 7 Revoked | 18/1 open 34.00 | — | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
George Cross owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Midgham Man carries the joint-highest SR in the field at 149, and crucially is the only runner showing market support — shortening 9% from opening — which is a meaningful signal in a novice where most information is hidden. Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 1,257 winners) is a significant booking upgrade for what is a stepping-up-in-class (↑1) runner, suggesting connections are confident the horse is ready for this level. The 13/2 price represents genuine value given the SR advantage over Perfect Nation (SR 96) and Avionics (SR 89), the two market leaders, both of whom carry weaker ability metrics despite shorter prices. The 36-day freshening period is not a concern at this early juvenile stage, and Murphy's presence suggests the yard is treating this as a serious entry. Each-way alternative: George Cross. Main danger: George Cross — George Cross holds the highest SR in the field at 148 with Callum Rodriguez (17% strike rate) aboard, and while he makes his debut with no form line to assess, unraced juveniles from Owen Burrows' yard (18% strike rate) have a strong record of running well fresh, making him the chief unknown quantity.