Lingfield (AW) 18:48 RESULTED
Class 6 4 Aug 2026

Tuesday 4 August John Cunliffe Obf 80th Birthday Handicap Stakes

John Cunliffe Obf 80th Birthday Handicap Stakes · 6f1y

Official Result

John Cunliffe Obf 80th Birthday Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Elvetham (IRE) Jack Gilligan · Conrad Allen
    13/2
  2. 15/8F
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Master Dandy silks
Master Dandy Non-Runner
Age 6 · 9-1
187035
57
57OR
6
9-1
SP FCST 12/1
1
Reposado silks
Reposado
Age 4 · 9-9
622886
65
66
65OR
4
9-9
4/1 4/1 7/2
Reposado has experience over today's trip and returns after 32 days, shaped by two consecutive seconds four and five starts back — though winless in his last six, our rating of 76 marks him out as the one to beat from stall 4 off 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Express Train silks
Express Train
Age 4 · 9-7
7-6390
63
38
63OR
4
9-7
25/1 FCST 22/1
Winless in his last five starts, Express Train does at least bring distance experience to the table and is fresh enough after 33 days, but his recent slide — unplaced last time out after a third three starts back — makes him hard to fancy from stall 12 off 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Style King silks
Style King
Age 4 · 9-7
268531
63
69
63OR
4
9-7
3/1 FCST 5/2
A winner last time out and he has run over today's trip, but that eighth and sixth in recent starts expose some inconsistency; 29 days off and 133 lb from stall 10 make this a guarded each-way read at best.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Federal Envoy silks
Federal Envoy
Age 5 · 9-7
690526
63
64
63OR
5
9-7
5/1
Federal Envoy arrives on the back of a second two starts back, and our rating of 68 nudges him ahead of his official mark, suggesting he's capable of better — yet he's winless in his last six starts, and that lack of a win is the nagging concern.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Twilight Madness silks
Twilight Madness
Age 8 · 9-7
231980
63
39
63OR
8
9-7
22/1 14/1 20/1
Twilight Madness landed a win four starts back and posted a third and second earlier in the sequence, showing he's capable at this level; drawn in stall two and carrying 133 lb, the worry is his last two runs have both been well below that form.
AI verdict

SR 39 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Just Jump silks
Just Jump
Age 4 · 9-6
758R15
62
61
62OR
4
9-6
7/1 FCST 11/2
Just Jump arrives here on the back of a win two starts back and has run over today's trip, with 33 days between runs leaving him fresh; the concern is that refusal three starts back raises a jumping question mark he'll need to answer.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Havana Sky silks
Havana Sky
Age 5 · 9-6
844057
62
58
62OR
5
9-6
9/1 10/1 17/2
Winless in his last six starts, Havana Sky heads here 22 days after a seventh, and while he has run over today's trip and our rating edges his official mark, he ranks eighth of eleven — modest recent form makes a significant step forward hard to foresee.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Phoenix Moon silks
Phoenix Moon
Age 5 · 9-5
142388
61
47
61OR
5
9-5
SP 6/1 11/2
Phoenix Moon has finished eighth in each of her last two starts, making her tough to fancy despite a third and a win in earlier recent outings; she has run over today's trip before, and 12 days between runs suggests she is at least fit and ready.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

9
Balon d'Or silks
Balon d'Or
Age 5 · 9-4
6-7648
60
53
60OR
5
9-4
11/1 9/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts, Balon d'Or does at least have experience over today's trip and arrives here 26 days fresh, but a fourth two starts back is the sole bright spot in otherwise modest form, and 130 lb from stall nine makes life no easier.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

10
Elvetham silks
Elvetham
Age 4 · 9-2
332036
58
62
58OR
4
9-2
15/2 FCST 7/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Elvetham faces a stiff ask here; third two starts back offers a crumb of comfort, and he has run over today's trip, but five days between runs is a brisk turnaround for a horse yet to find the winner's enclosure in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Vitalline silks
Vitalline
Age 8 · 8-10
068519
52
42
52OR
8
8-10
18/1 18/1 16/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Vitalline's recent form is patchy — ninth last time out and largely struggling in his last six, bar a win two starts back. Has run over today's trip and returns after 30 days, but it's hard to make a case from here.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Master Dandy 12/1 12/1 Bet365
1 Reposado 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Express Train 25/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 25/1 Bet365
3 Style King 3/1 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 5/2 3/1 Bet365
4 Federal Envoy 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 William Hill
5 Twilight Madness 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 20/1 25/1 Coral
6 Just Jump 7/1 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 11/2 7/1 Bet365
7 Havana Sky 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 Betfred
8 Phoenix Moon 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 Betfred
9 Balon d'Or 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 Bet365
10 Elvetham 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.50 8/1 8/1 Betfred
12 Vitalline 18/1 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Style King

Speculative

Style King owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Chris Dwyer Marco Ghiani
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Elvetham

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Conrad Allen
✓ Value Signal

Express Train

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Richard Phillips
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Style King
51.4 3/1
2 10. Elvetham
49.4 15/2
3 1. Reposado
48.9 4/1
4 4. Federal Envoy
47.6 5/1
5 6. Just Jump
45.1 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Reposado
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-4
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

12
Age 8 · 8-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Reposado
Confidence: Medium

Reposado (SR:66, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 13% in the market — the strongest market move among all runners. At 9-9, the weight is manageable in a Class 6 sprint where no rival approaches the SR. The market confidence combined with the top SR in a thin field is a compelling combination, even acknowledging the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- concerns. Trainer Dylan Cunha is operating at 9% but the market is clearly doing the talking here, and at 4/1 the price respects rather than dismisses those concerns. Each-way alternative: Style King. Main danger: Style King — Style King (SR:69, 3/1) is the highest SR in the field, holds course form (W1P1 at Lingfield), has proven going fitness (GoingFit:+), and dropped a class — though the 6% market drift and MarkMv:+3 temper enthusiasm, the raw ability edge over Reposado is real.

Shortlist Reposado, Style King, Havana Sky
Each-way: Style King Danger: Style King

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade