Born Bright won two of her last five starts and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, giving her a solid claims here; the main concern is that she returns after 57 days off carrying 166 lb.
Form last 6114-34
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
108SR—RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up two outings back, Mephisto returns quickly on six days' rest; he has run over today's trip and going before, yet 165 lb is a stiff ask for a gelding yet to find his best form.
Form last 65P-470
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
79SR—RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Three consecutive pulls-up make Kalanisi Flash a serious concern, and a struggling yard (0/31 over 14 days) compounds the worry — yet he has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 114 ranks him third of 18, underlining he retains ability on his best form.
Form last 6/3PP-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Sound Judgement won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but she shoulders a hefty 161 lb and her trainer is in poor recent form — those are real drags on her chances of repeating.
Form last 6P26-31
★AI Rating★★★★☆
110SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Starzov is winless in his last five starts and returns after a 352-day absence, yet he has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 118 marks him as the standout of 18 — the main concern is whether that lengthy layoff blunts his challenge.
Form last 60F7PP-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Mavetherave does bring distance and going experience to the table, and 31 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; however, a top weight of 159 lb looks a stiff ask for a gelding whose recent efforts have been largely disappointing.
Form last 62050-8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up two outings back, Priory Park faces questions on consistency, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 108 suggests some residual ability — 108 days off the track is the bigger concern.
Form last 6504P9-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts but there are reasons for optimism: he has run over today's trip and going before, and 29 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, with our rating of 117 giving him solid claims in this field despite carrying 158 lb.
Form last 6/P00-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Shaped with promise when second two starts back, but that fall three starts back clouds his jumping profile, and 296 days off the track is a significant fitness question; has experience of today's going, though the sixth last time out suggests he's not firing at present.
Form last 615F26-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Won last time out, but pulled up two starts back and again five starts back, so his completion record remains a concern; 84 days off the track and a trainer without a winner in 37 recent attempts are further negatives, despite his experience on today's going.
Form last 6P60P-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
She'll Be Kept won last time out and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround having run over today's going before, but her erratic recent record — a fall and an unplaced run among her last five — and a lowly ranking of 15th of 18 on our figures make her hard to fancy at the weights.
Form last 6F2-061
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR—RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, including a pull-up, Glitz And Glamour is hard to fancy ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, though she has run over today's distance and going before and her 25-day break at least suggests she returns fresh.
Form last 6839-P6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sallap won two of her last five starts, but returning just two days after her most recent fifth makes freshness a concern, and carrying 156 lb is a stiff burden; ranked 17th of 18 on our figures, she faces a steep ask here despite having run over today's trip and going.
Form last 6F-0115
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Knocknagoran Lady has winning form in recent starts — back-to-back victories — but she sits at the foot of our rankings here, and 155 lb is a stiff burden to overcome against this level of opposition.
Form last 683-611
★AI Rating★★★★☆
111SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Wild Mandate returns just two days after being pulled up, and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures she faces a stiff ask; a winner two starts back shows she retains some ability, and she has experience of today's going, but the quick turnaround is hard to ignore.
Form last 620-51P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, Smackwater Jack faces a stiff ask carrying 152 lb, and his sole win in his last five starts tempers enthusiasm — though he has run over today's trip and going before, and back-to-back placed efforts latterly show he retains some form.
Form last 60-9132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, though a third two runs back offers some encouragement; she has run over today's trip and going and arrives fresh enough at 29 days between runs, but 152 lb is a stern burden for a mare ranked 10th of 18.
Form last 6045-38
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Knocknagoran Lady owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Cian HughesDaniel King
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
She'll Be Kept
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Brian M McMahon✓ Value Signal
Mephisto
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Gerard Keane◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Knocknagoran Lady (SR:111, 10/3, Wgt:11-1) is the joint-highest-rated runner in the field and carries 6lb less than top-weight Born Bright while posting a superior SR of 3lb more. Her recent form of 83-611 shows two consecutive wins heading into today, suggesting a horse in peak form and progressive. The market has shortened 8% since opening, indicating stable confidence from trainer Cian Hughes (14% strike rate from only 29 runners — a sharp small yard). Running off a mark +9 above her last win is a concern, but the back-to-back victories and market support outweigh that risk in a broadly moderate 18-runner field.
Each-way alternative: Wild Mandate.
Main danger: Sound Judgement — Sound Judgement (SR:110, 10/3) is trained by Gordon Elliott with Jack Kennedy aboard — both elite operators — and recent form P26-31 shows a last-run win; the market drift of 8% is the main concern but the class of connections cannot be ignored at a price.
ShortlistKnocknagoran Lady, Sound Judgement, Born Bright, She'll Be Kept, Wild Mandate