Roscommon 18:30 RESULTED
4 Aug 2026

Tuesday 4 August DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle

DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle · 2m7f210y

Official Result

DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner She'll Be Kept (IRE) Phillip Enright · Brian M McMahon
    7/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Western Model silks
Western Model Non-Runner
Age 7 · 11-4
25-831
102
102OR
7
11-4
SP
1
Born Bright silks
Born Bright
Age 7 · 11-12
114-34
110
108
110OR
7
11-12
10/1 FCST 9/1
Born Bright won two of her last five starts and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, giving her a solid claims here; the main concern is that she returns after 57 days off carrying 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Mephisto silks
Mephisto
Age 9 · 11-11
5P-470
109
79
109OR
9
11-11
25/1
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up two outings back, Mephisto returns quickly on six days' rest; he has run over today's trip and going before, yet 165 lb is a stiff ask for a gelding yet to find his best form.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Kalanisi Flash silks
Kalanisi Flash
Age 9 · 11-10
/3PP-P
108
72
108OR
9
11-10
50/1
Three consecutive pulls-up make Kalanisi Flash a serious concern, and a struggling yard (0/31 over 14 days) compounds the worry — yet he has experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 114 ranks him third of 18, underlining he retains ability on his best form.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

4
Sound Judgement silks
Sound Judgement
Age 6 · 11-7
P26-31
105
110
105OR
6
11-7
10/3 FCST 5/2
Sound Judgement won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but she shoulders a hefty 161 lb and her trainer is in poor recent form — those are real drags on her chances of repeating.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Starzov silks
Starzov
Age 9 · 11-6
0F7PP-
104
67
104OR
9
11-6
33/1 28/1 33/1
Starzov is winless in his last five starts and returns after a 352-day absence, yet he has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 118 marks him as the standout of 18 — the main concern is whether that lengthy layoff blunts his challenge.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Mavetherave silks
Mavetherave
Age 6 · 11-5
2050-8
103
78
103OR
6
11-5
28/1 18/1 28/1
Winless in his last five starts, Mavetherave does bring distance and going experience to the table, and 31 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; however, a top weight of 159 lb looks a stiff ask for a gelding whose recent efforts have been largely disappointing.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Priory Park silks
Priory Park
Age 10 · 11-5
504P9-
103
85
103OR
10
11-5
16/1 FCST 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up two outings back, Priory Park faces questions on consistency, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 108 suggests some residual ability — 108 days off the track is the bigger concern.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Getaway Charlie silks
Getaway Charlie
Age 10 · 11-4
/P00-4
102
71
102OR
10
11-4
33/1 28/1 33/1
Winless in his last four starts but there are reasons for optimism: he has run over today's trip and going before, and 29 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, with our rating of 117 giving him solid claims in this field despite carrying 158 lb.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
It's Not His Fault silks
It's Not His Fault
Age 5 · 11-4
3800-
102
76
102OR
5
11-4
33/1 28/1 33/1
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
AI verdict

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Itsaworkinmaniam silks
Itsaworkinmaniam
Age 7 · 11-4
15F26-
102
84
102OR
7
11-4
16/1 14/1 16/1
Shaped with promise when second two starts back, but that fall three starts back clouds his jumping profile, and 296 days off the track is a significant fitness question; has experience of today's going, though the sixth last time out suggests he's not firing at present.
AI verdict

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Mr Dibbs silks
Mr Dibbs
Age 7 · 11-4
P60P-1
102
99
102OR
7
11-4
8/1 6/1 8/1
Won last time out, but pulled up two starts back and again five starts back, so his completion record remains a concern; 84 days off the track and a trainer without a winner in 37 recent attempts are further negatives, despite his experience on today's going.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
She'll Be Kept silks
She'll Be Kept
Age 6 · 11-3
F2-061
101
104
101OR
6
11-3
9/2 FCST 4/1
She'll Be Kept won last time out and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround having run over today's going before, but her erratic recent record — a fall and an unplaced run among her last five — and a lowly ranking of 15th of 18 on our figures make her hard to fancy at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Glitz And Glamour silks
Glitz And Glamour
Age 5 · 11-2
839-P6
100
89
100OR
5
11-2
11/1 10/1 9/1
Winless in her last five starts, including a pull-up, Glitz And Glamour is hard to fancy ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, though she has run over today's distance and going before and her 25-day break at least suggests she returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Sallap silks
Sallap
Age 6 · 11-2
F-0115
100
103
100OR
6
11-2
17/2 6/1 17/2
Sallap won two of her last five starts, but returning just two days after her most recent fifth makes freshness a concern, and carrying 156 lb is a stiff burden; ranked 17th of 18 on our figures, she faces a steep ask here despite having run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Knocknagoran Lady silks
Knocknagoran Lady
Age 7 · 11-1
83-611
99
111
99OR
7
11-1
10/3
Knocknagoran Lady has winning form in recent starts — back-to-back victories — but she sits at the foot of our rankings here, and 155 lb is a stiff burden to overcome against this level of opposition.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

17
Wild Mandate silks
Wild Mandate
Age 7 · 10-13
20-51P
97
92
97OR
7
10-13
11/1 12/1 11/1
Wild Mandate returns just two days after being pulled up, and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures she faces a stiff ask; a winner two starts back shows she retains some ability, and she has experience of today's going, but the quick turnaround is hard to ignore.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

18
Smackwater Jack silks
Smackwater Jack
Age 12 · 10-12
0-9132
96
97
96OR
12
10-12
12/1
Ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, Smackwater Jack faces a stiff ask carrying 152 lb, and his sole win in his last five starts tempers enthusiasm — though he has run over today's trip and going before, and back-to-back placed efforts latterly show he retains some form.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

19
Its Not Over Yet silks
Its Not Over Yet
Age 7 · 10-12
045-38
96
79
96OR
7
10-12
20/1 FCST 16/1
Winless in her last five starts, though a third two runs back offers some encouragement; she has run over today's trip and going and arrives fresh enough at 29 days between runs, but 152 lb is a stern burden for a mare ranked 10th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Western Model
1 Born Bright 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 10/1 Bet365
2 Mephisto 25/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
3 Kalanisi Flash 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
4 Sound Judgement 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 5/2 7/2 William Hill
5 Starzov 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Coral
6 Mavetherave 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 Coral
7 Priory Park 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365
8 Getaway Charlie 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Coral
9 It's Not His Fault 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Coral
10 Itsaworkinmaniam 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 18/1 Coral
11 Mr Dibbs 8/1 open 7.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 9/1 Coral
13 She'll Be Kept 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 4/1 11/2 William Hill
14 Glitz And Glamour 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
15 Sallap 17/2 open 7.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 10/1 Coral
16 Knocknagoran Lady 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 4.33 10/3 7/2 William Hill
17 Wild Mandate 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 Betfred
18 Smackwater Jack 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
19 Its Not Over Yet 20/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Knocknagoran Lady

Live signal

Knocknagoran Lady owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Cian Hughes Daniel King
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

She'll Be Kept

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Brian M McMahon
✓ Value Signal

Mephisto

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gerard Keane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 16. Knocknagoran Lady
61.2 10/3
2 13. She'll Be Kept
59.3 9/2
3 4. Sound Judgement
57.9 10/3
4 15. Sallap
56.6 17/2
5 11. Mr Dibbs
55.6 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Knocknagoran Lady
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 11-7
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 110 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

16
Age 7 · 11-1
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 111 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

13
Age 6 · 11-3
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 7 · 11-4
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 6 · 11-2
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 11-12
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 5 · 11-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 7 · 10-13
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

18
Age 12 · 10-12
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 10 · 11-5
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 11-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

19
Age 7 · 10-12
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Knocknagoran Lady
Confidence: Medium

Knocknagoran Lady (SR:111, 10/3, Wgt:11-1) is the joint-highest-rated runner in the field and carries 6lb less than top-weight Born Bright while posting a superior SR of 3lb more. Her recent form of 83-611 shows two consecutive wins heading into today, suggesting a horse in peak form and progressive. The market has shortened 8% since opening, indicating stable confidence from trainer Cian Hughes (14% strike rate from only 29 runners — a sharp small yard). Running off a mark +9 above her last win is a concern, but the back-to-back victories and market support outweigh that risk in a broadly moderate 18-runner field. Each-way alternative: Wild Mandate. Main danger: Sound Judgement — Sound Judgement (SR:110, 10/3) is trained by Gordon Elliott with Jack Kennedy aboard — both elite operators — and recent form P26-31 shows a last-run win; the market drift of 8% is the main concern but the class of connections cannot be ignored at a price.

Shortlist Knocknagoran Lady, Sound Judgement, Born Bright, She'll Be Kept, Wild Mandate
Each-way: Wild Mandate Danger: Sound Judgement

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m7f210y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting