Roscommon 20:00 RESULTED
4 Aug 2026

Tuesday 4 August Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Steeplechase

Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Steeplechase · 3m1f14y

Official Result

Campbell's Bar Ballinlough Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Il Silenzio (GB) Conor Smithers · Martin Brassil
    7/2F
  2. 6/1
  3. 17/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Catterick

14:15–16:45 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:30–17:30 · 7 races

Lingfield (AW)

17:18–18:48 · 4 races

Roscommon

17:25–20:30 · 7 races

Lingfield

19:18–20:18 · 3 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Midnight Moonshine silks
Midnight Moonshine
Age 7 · 12-0
F-0905
98
80
98OR
7
12-0
9/1 15/2 9/1
Winless in his last five starts, Midnight Moonshine nonetheless catches the eye as the second-ranked runner in a field of 19, and his experience over today's trip and going is a genuine asset under 168 lb; the concern is that recent form has been patchy at best.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Decimation silks
Decimation
Age 11 · 11-13
03260-
97
71
97OR
11
11-13
20/1 FCST 16/1
Decimation has placed second and third in recent starts, showing he clearly belongs at this level, and having run over today's trip and going he arrives with relevant experience — our rating of 101 puts him right in contention. The concern is 145 days off the track; he'll need to strip fit.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
Kilkee Bay silks
Kilkee Bay
Age 7 · 11-12
6-U812
96
89
96OR
7
11-12
9/2 FCST 4/1
Kilkee Bay arrives on the back of a win two starts ago and a close second last time out, bringing strong recent momentum to this assignment; he has experience of today's trip and going, and at 166 lb the weight is the one factor to negotiate.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
One Way Traffic silks
One Way Traffic
Age 9 · 11-11
86F9-2
95
85
95OR
9
11-11
4/1 3/1 4/1
Winless in his last five starts and absent 75 days, One Way Traffic does at least have going experience to call on, but a fall in recent outings and too many mid-field finishes give pause — the second last time out is the sole bright spot in a patchy recent profile.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Il Silenzio silks
Il Silenzio
Age 9 · 11-9
/3P1-4
93
90
93OR
9
11-9
10/3 5/2 11/4
Won two starts back but pulled up three starts back, and that inconsistency is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 59 days off carrying 163 lb, leaving fitness another question mark.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sampoet silks
Sampoet
Age 9 · 11-9
4584U7
93
72
93OR
9
11-9
12/1 10/1 12/1
Winless in his last six starts, Sampoet nonetheless rates the one to beat on our figures — ranked top of 19 — and he has experience over today's trip and going. Carrying 163 lb, a clear run after unseating two starts back is the key hope.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
Difficult Decision silks
Difficult Decision
Age 13 · 11-8
746-45
92
73
92OR
13
11-8
14/1 9/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and 59 days off the track are the concerns, but Difficult Decision has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 95 gives him a shout from mid-division despite carrying 162 lb.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
John Storey silks
John Storey
Age 8 · 11-8
6P4PP-
92
58
92OR
8
11-8
18/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up three times in that sequence, John Storey arrives 114 days off the track carrying a hefty 162 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, but his recent record gives more cause for concern than confidence.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Ballagh Star silks
Ballagh Star
Age 8 · 11-4
1P-0P9
88
58
88OR
8
11-4
20/1 FCST 16/1
Ninth latest, pulled up twice and unplaced once since winning five starts back, Ballagh Star's recent form makes him very hard to recommend; he has experience of today's distance and going, but ranked 13th of 19 on our figures, he faces a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

10
Stormy Master silks
Stormy Master
Age 12 · 11-4
170-39
88
68
88OR
12
11-4
18/1 25/1 18/1
Stormy Master showed a third two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, but his ninth last time out and 57-day absence give cause for pause — the 158 lb burden won't help his chance of recapturing that form.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Made U Look silks
Made U Look
Age 7 · 11-0
461-07
84
54
84OR
7
11-0
33/1 FCST 25/1
Landed a win three starts back and retains potential as a lightly raced gelding still open to improvement; 18 days between runs leaves him fresh, and carrying 154 lb is the chief query at this stage.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Oogum Boogum silks
Oogum Boogum
Age 8 · 10-13
-13238
83
82
83OR
8
10-13
13/2 FCST 11/2
Oogum Boogum arrives on a quick 13-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going in his favour, and his placed efforts — third two starts back and second three starts back — show ability, but that eighth last time out is a concern under 153 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Kilashee silks
Kilashee
Age 11 · 10-10
067-PP
80
64
80OR
11
10-10
12/1
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up on each of her two most recent outings, Kilashee faces a stiff task under 150 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before, and our rating of 92 suggests she retains more ability than her recent efforts imply.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

14
Written In My Soul silks
Written In My Soul
Age 6 · 10-8
5P-PP6
78
48
78OR
6
10-8
40/1
Winless in recent starts and with three pulled-up efforts among her last five, Written In My Soul is hard to fancy ranked 15th of 19 on our figures; she has run over today's going before, which is about the best that can be said.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

15
Captain Kate silks
Captain Kate
Age 7 · 10-2
66P-P9
72
48
72OR
7
10-2
66/1 FCST 50/1
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up on two of her three most recent outings, Captain Kate has serious questions to answer here; ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, only experience over today's trip and going offers any crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

16
Deal Again silks
Deal Again
Age 12 · 10-2
000RP/
72
42
72OR
12
10-2
100/1 50/1 80/1
Yet to score in recent starts and absent for 637 days, Deal Again arrives here with question marks after pulling up last time and refusing the start before that — he's deeply unexposed and open to improvement, but connections have plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

17
Love Like This silks
Love Like This
Age 8 · 10-6
531430
76
72
76OR
8
10-6
14/1 FCST 12/1
Ranked 14 of 19 on our figures, Love Like This faces a stiff ask, arriving off an unplaced effort 11 days ago and winless in her last five starts; that sole win four starts back offers slim hope, though she has distance and going experience and returns quickly fit.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
True Harmony silks
True Harmony
Age 6 · 10-12
8-9266
82
79
82OR
6
10-12
6/1 FCST 5/1
Winless in his last five starts, with two sixths in recent outings and a weight of 152 lb to shoulder, True Harmony faces a stiff task here — ranked 16 of 19 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, which offers some grounding, but it is hard to make a case for him.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Thewaybackhome silks
Thewaybackhome
Age 5 · 11-5
70-342
89
84
89OR
5
11-5
6/1 FCST 11/2
Winless in his last five starts, Thewaybackhome at least shows consistency through a run of placings, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; carrying 159 lb and ranked 12th of 19 on our rating, he faces a stiff ask against stronger rivals here.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Midnight Moonshine 9/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 9.50 9/1 12/1 Coral
2 Decimation 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 16/1 22/1 Coral
3 Kilkee Bay 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 5.00 4/1 11/2 William Hill
4 One Way Traffic 4/1 open 4.00 5/1 5/1 11/2 open 4.50 4/1 11/2 William Hill
5 Il Silenzio 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 10/3 7/2 open 3.50 11/4 7/2 William Hill
6 Sampoet 12/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 12.00 12/1 16/1 Coral
7 Difficult Decision 14/1 open 10.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 18/1 Coral
8 John Storey 18/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 13.00 12/1 20/1 Coral
9 Ballagh Star 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 19.00 16/1 20/1 Bet365
10 Stormy Master 18/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 25/1 25/1 Betfred
11 Made U Look 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 25/1 40/1 Coral
12 Oogum Boogum 13/2 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 6.50 11/2 15/2 William Hill
13 Kilashee 12/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Coral
14 Written In My Soul 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
15 Captain Kate 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 50/1 80/1 Coral
16 Deal Again 100/1 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 81.00 80/1 125/1 Coral
17 Love Like This 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 13.00 12/1 16/1 Coral
18 True Harmony 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 13/2 7/1 open 6.00 5/1 7/1 William Hill
19 Thewaybackhome 6/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 6.50 11/2 8/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Il Silenzio

Speculative

Il Silenzio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Martin Brassil Conor Smithers(7)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

One Way Traffic

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Oliver McKiernan
✓ Value Signal

Captain Kate

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · E Sheehy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Il Silenzio
54.8 10/3
2 4. One Way Traffic
53.7 4/1
3 3. Kilkee Bay
53.5 9/2
4 12. Oogum Boogum
53.4 13/2
5 19. Thewaybackhome
53.4 6/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Il Silenzio
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 9 · 11-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 9 · 11-11
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 11-12
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 6 · 10-12
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Age 5 · 11-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 8 · 10-13
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 9 · 11-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

13
Age 11 · 10-10
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
Age 13 · 11-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 8 · 10-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 11-8
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 12 · 11-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Age 11 · 11-13
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Age 8 · 11-4
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Il Silenzio
Confidence: Medium

Il Silenzio (SR:90, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 11-9, sitting in the middle of the weight range — a clear advantage over top-weight Midnight Moonshine (SR:80, 12-0). The DistFit:+ flag is the only confirmed distance suitability marker in the entire field at 3m1f, a material edge in a staying chase where stamina is the primary test. Trainer Martin Brassil hits at 13% from 102 runners — the strongest trainer strike rate among competitive runners here — and jockey Conor Smithers posts 12% from 50 rides, a capable claimer booking. The form shows a win last season (the '1' in /3P1-4) and while the mark has risen 6lb since that win, the SR leads the field by a margin that makes the penalty absorbable. Each-way alternative: Oogum Boogum. Main danger: Kilkee Bay — Kilkee Bay (SR:89, 9/2) is the McNamara yard's chosen runner over stablemate Decimation — better jockey booking in Mr J Dunne (12%, 43 rides) versus Calum Hogan (8%) — and at SR:89 sits just one point below Il Silenzio on 2lb less weight, making the weight-adjusted SR essentially level.

Shortlist Il Silenzio, Kilkee Bay, Oogum Boogum, Thewaybackhome
Each-way: Oogum Boogum Danger: Kilkee Bay

🗺 The Course Race conditions

3m1f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting