Winless in his last five starts, Midnight Moonshine nonetheless catches the eye as the second-ranked runner in a field of 19, and his experience over today's trip and going is a genuine asset under 168 lb; the concern is that recent form has been patchy at best.
Form last 6F-0905
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR—RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Decimation has placed second and third in recent starts, showing he clearly belongs at this level, and having run over today's trip and going he arrives with relevant experience — our rating of 101 puts him right in contention. The concern is 145 days off the track; he'll need to strip fit.
Form last 603260-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Kilkee Bay arrives on the back of a win two starts ago and a close second last time out, bringing strong recent momentum to this assignment; he has experience of today's trip and going, and at 166 lb the weight is the one factor to negotiate.
Form last 66-U812
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and absent 75 days, One Way Traffic does at least have going experience to call on, but a fall in recent outings and too many mid-field finishes give pause — the second last time out is the sole bright spot in a patchy recent profile.
Form last 686F9-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won two starts back but pulled up three starts back, and that inconsistency is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns after 59 days off carrying 163 lb, leaving fitness another question mark.
Form last 6/3P1-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Sampoet nonetheless rates the one to beat on our figures — ranked top of 19 — and he has experience over today's trip and going. Carrying 163 lb, a clear run after unseating two starts back is the key hope.
Form last 64584U7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in his last five starts and 59 days off the track are the concerns, but Difficult Decision has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 95 gives him a shout from mid-division despite carrying 162 lb.
Form last 6746-45
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up three times in that sequence, John Storey arrives 114 days off the track carrying a hefty 162 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, but his recent record gives more cause for concern than confidence.
Form last 66P4PP-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Ninth latest, pulled up twice and unplaced once since winning five starts back, Ballagh Star's recent form makes him very hard to recommend; he has experience of today's distance and going, but ranked 13th of 19 on our figures, he faces a stiff task.
Form last 61P-0P9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Stormy Master showed a third two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, but his ninth last time out and 57-day absence give cause for pause — the 158 lb burden won't help his chance of recapturing that form.
Form last 6170-39
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Landed a win three starts back and retains potential as a lightly raced gelding still open to improvement; 18 days between runs leaves him fresh, and carrying 154 lb is the chief query at this stage.
Form last 6461-07
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Oogum Boogum arrives on a quick 13-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going in his favour, and his placed efforts — third two starts back and second three starts back — show ability, but that eighth last time out is a concern under 153 lb.
Form last 6-13238
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR—RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up on each of her two most recent outings, Kilashee faces a stiff task under 150 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before, and our rating of 92 suggests she retains more ability than her recent efforts imply.
Form last 6067-PP
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in recent starts and with three pulled-up efforts among her last five, Written In My Soul is hard to fancy ranked 15th of 19 on our figures; she has run over today's going before, which is about the best that can be said.
Form last 65P-PP6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up on two of her three most recent outings, Captain Kate has serious questions to answer here; ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, only experience over today's trip and going offers any crumb of comfort.
Form last 666P-P9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Yet to score in recent starts and absent for 637 days, Deal Again arrives here with question marks after pulling up last time and refusing the start before that — he's deeply unexposed and open to improvement, but connections have plenty to prove.
Form last 6000RP/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Ranked 14 of 19 on our figures, Love Like This faces a stiff ask, arriving off an unplaced effort 11 days ago and winless in her last five starts; that sole win four starts back offers slim hope, though she has distance and going experience and returns quickly fit.
Form last 6531430
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with two sixths in recent outings and a weight of 152 lb to shoulder, True Harmony faces a stiff task here — ranked 16 of 19 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, which offers some grounding, but it is hard to make a case for him.
Form last 68-9266
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Thewaybackhome at least shows consistency through a run of placings, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; carrying 159 lb and ranked 12th of 19 on our rating, he faces a stiff ask against stronger rivals here.
Form last 670-342
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Il Silenzio owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Martin BrassilConor Smithers(7)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
One Way Traffic
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Oliver McKiernan✓ Value Signal
Captain Kate
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · E Sheehy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Il Silenzio (SR:90, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 11-9, sitting in the middle of the weight range — a clear advantage over top-weight Midnight Moonshine (SR:80, 12-0). The DistFit:+ flag is the only confirmed distance suitability marker in the entire field at 3m1f, a material edge in a staying chase where stamina is the primary test. Trainer Martin Brassil hits at 13% from 102 runners — the strongest trainer strike rate among competitive runners here — and jockey Conor Smithers posts 12% from 50 rides, a capable claimer booking. The form shows a win last season (the '1' in /3P1-4) and while the mark has risen 6lb since that win, the SR leads the field by a margin that makes the penalty absorbable.
Each-way alternative: Oogum Boogum.
Main danger: Kilkee Bay — Kilkee Bay (SR:89, 9/2) is the McNamara yard's chosen runner over stablemate Decimation — better jockey booking in Mr J Dunne (12%, 43 rides) versus Calum Hogan (8%) — and at SR:89 sits just one point below Il Silenzio on 2lb less weight, making the weight-adjusted SR essentially level.
ShortlistIl Silenzio, Kilkee Bay, Oogum Boogum, Thewaybackhome