Hambelton
SpeculativeHambelton owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Highway Safety Developments Handicap · 1m
SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Harana | 4/1 | — | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | — | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Frank Pickle | 6/1 open 6.50 | — | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | — | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Ocean Manifest | 25/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Red Hugh O'Donnell | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Zaraahmando | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 No More Porter | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Liberation Date | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Hambelton | 9/4 | — | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | — | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 9 Snow Princess | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hambelton owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Harana (SR 81, 4/1) is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Hambelton, but crucially carries only 10-0 compared to the market leader's 9-3 — and Hambelton (SR 88) has a critical DistFit:- flag at today's mile trip, which is a concrete negative signal rather than an unknown. Harana's trainer D K Weld operates at 13% and Chris Hayes at 12%, both the most credible connections pairing in the race, and the 4/1 represents fair market confidence without the concerning drift seen across most of the field. Liberation Date (SR 79, 9/2) with Dylan Browne McMonagle aboard is the primary danger but has shown a sharp regression in form (1-9683, last three runs poor) and a moderate distance record, limiting confidence. Harana's mark has risen +8 but the SR of 81 still leads among horses with no DistFit:-/going concerns, and the consistent Weld/Hayes combination at a competitive price seals the selection. Each-way alternative: Liberation Date. Main danger: Liberation Date — Liberation Date (SR 79, 9/2) has the second-best SR among the non-eliminated runners, carries a light 9-4, and Dylan Browne McMonagle's 15% strike rate is comfortably the best jockey booking in the race — if the horse recaptures anything close to the form behind his sole win, he's a live threat.