Homeland
SpeculativeHomeland owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Pristine Landscaping & Garden Maintenance Handicap Stakes · 1m2f0y
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Mix De Gris | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Homeland | 6/5 open 2.00 | — | 11/10 open 2.00 | 6/5 open 2.00 | 6/5 open 2.00 | — | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 2 Celtic Spirit | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Haveagobeau | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | — | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Dogged | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Leia Antilles | 12/1 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Homeland owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Haveagobeau (SR:59, 3/1, Wgt:9-6) is the most convincing case in a modest Class 6 field. The 13% market move inward is the standout signal — money coming for a horse at 3/1 in a 5-runner race tells a clear story. A drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) means this is easier ground than recent starts, and the form string 621552 shows consistent engagement at the business end throughout. The GoingFit:- is the one genuine concern on good-to-firm, but the weight advantage over favourite Homeland (5lb lighter at 9-6 vs 9-11) combined with trainer Jim Boyle's 10% strike rate from 302 runners provides a credible overall case. Each-way alternative: Homeland. Main danger: Homeland — Homeland (SR:61, 6/5) holds the highest SR in the field and despite a 9% drift, remains the market favourite — a last-time-out fourth from form 65-341 shows recent activity, and if the drift is noise rather than a genuine negative signal, the SR edge could reassert itself over 1m2f.