Sky Bet Price Boosts EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bear Lee | 8/1 open 6.00 | — | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/1 Coral |
| 2 Desert Smoke | 2/1 open 3.50 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 open 3.50 | — | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Gladys Pugh | 12/1 open 19.00 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Hout Bay | 9/4 open 2.75 | — | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.75 | — | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Nour | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Rogue Jewel | 9/1 open 13.00 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 12.00 | — | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Desert Smoke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Desert Smoke leads the field on SR (155) and is the only runner showing genuine market confidence, shortening 8% to 2/1 with James Doyle booked — a jockey whose 18% career strike rate is the highest of any rider in this field. The Hugo Palmer yard runs at 13% and Doyle is a significant upgrade signal in a novice where connections telegraph intent through jockey bookings. The form figure of '6' from a single run leaves room for improvement, and the class held steady (ClassMv:=) suggests Palmer sees this as the right level rather than a speculative step up. At 2/1 the price is fair rather than generous, which is the only reservation, but no rival matches the SR + market + jockey combination. Each-way alternative: Hout Bay. Main danger: Hout Bay — Hout Bay (SR:153) is only 2 points below Desert Smoke, Rossa Ryan's 16% strike rate matches the field's best jockeys, and at 9/4 the market has placed it as the main market rival — though the 13% drift suggests connections or market insiders are not fully committed on the day.