Smith & Western Showdown Handicap Stakes · 0m4f217y
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 The Thames Boatman | 9/2 open 3.25 | — | 9/2 open 3.25 | 9/2 open 3.25 | 9/2 open 3.25 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Our Planet | 22/1 open 15.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Lazzar | 10/1 open 6.50 | — | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | — | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Diomed Duke | evn open 3.25 | — | 11/10 open 3.50 | 11/10 open 3.50 | evn open 3.50 | — | 11/10 Coral |
| 5 Ziggy's Missile | 14/1 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sandscreendeliverd | 9/2 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Miracleoftheandes | 11/1 open 8.00 | — | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | — | 11/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Thames Boatman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sandscreendeliverd (SR:71, 9/2) holds the second-highest SR in the field and drops a class, giving connections a legitimate opportunity. The market has shortened 10% from opening, suggesting quiet confidence, while the weight of 9-9 is favourable — notably 5lb less than top-weight The Thames Boatman (SR:75, 10-0) whose SR edge is modest and who has drifted a catastrophic 69% in the market. DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?) rather than negative, meaning today's conditions aren't flagged against this horse unlike Diomed Duke and Ziggy's Missile who both carry DistFit:- and GoingFit:- on good to firm at this trip. Tom Queally brings the superior jockey profile in a modest Class 5 contest, and the recent form of 422593 shows consistent competitiveness without win momentum being exhausted. Each-way alternative: Diomed Duke. Main danger: Diomed Duke — Diomed Duke (SR:57, evens) has been backed into favouritism with a 40% market move — the strongest support in the race — and drops a class with only 8 days since last run suggesting peak fitness, even though DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns that the market appears to be discounting.