Kilmurray Group Midlands National Handicap Chase (Listed) · 3m1f80y
SR 116 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 99 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
SR 113 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 112 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 111 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amirite | 12/1 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Perceval Legallois | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Uncle Pat | 7/2 open 3.50 | — | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 Coral |
| 4 Native Speaker | 10/3 open 4.50 | — | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 5 Boston Rover | 10/1 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Olympic Man | 22/1 open 34.00 | — | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Solitary Man | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Raglan Road | 11/2 open 7.00 | — | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Drumgill | 16/1 open 21.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Pride Of Place | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Yoradreamer | 7/1 open 8.50 | — | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Shanbally Kid | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Will Do | 40/1 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Invictus Machin | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Lonesome Boatman | 20/1 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Moonovercloon | 16/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 17 A Penny A Hundred | 20/1 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Uncle Pat owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 116 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 109 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 113 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 111 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 112 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Native Speaker (SR:135, 10/3) carries the best combination of SR, weight, and market confidence in this field. At 11-6 he is 3lb lighter than Uncle Pat (SR:134) and 6lb lighter than top-weight Amirite (SR:116), giving him a meaningful lbs edge over every realistic rival. His form string /789-1 shows a horse that ran in deep water before breaking his duck last time, and the market has backed that up with a 12% shortening — the clearest steamer in the race. De Bromhead's yard runs three here and O'Keeffe's record aboard this horse combined with the market move signals this is the stable's intended winner. The MarkMv:+9 is a concern — he runs off a mark 9lb above his last win — but in a Listed handicap at this trip his SR of 135 sits comfortably clear of the mid-field pack. Each-way alternative: Raglan Road. Main danger: Uncle Pat — Uncle Pat (SR:134, 7/2) is trained by Mullins with Townend in the saddle — the yard's likely number-one booking given Townend's 30% strike rate — and a form line of 2U221 shows genuine placed consistency, though the 40% market drift and MarkMv:+12 are worrying signals that connections may not be fully confident at this mark.