Jockey Club Estates Handicap · 7f
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 74 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 47 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Three Non Blondes | 18/1 open 9.50 | — | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Sierra Sands | 8/1 open 6.50 | — | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 3 Angel Gabriel | 12/1 open 8.50 | — | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Flight Control | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 5 Aqua Bear | 5/1 open 10.00 | — | 5/1 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Calling A Star | 12/1 open 8.00 | — | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 7 Toastmaster | 7/4 open 6.50 | — | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 15/8 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 Coral |
| 8 Kimbara | 12/1 open 8.00 | — | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Lion of Mali | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Daretobedifferent | 40/1 open 19.00 | — | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Ice Cube | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Toastmaster owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Toastmaster (SR 88, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field — 5 points clear of the next-best Aqua Bear (SR 83) — and carries only 9-4, a full 7lb less than the top-weights despite his superior ability. His form reads 235331 with a last-time-out win, confirming peak fitness, and the market has steamed 52% since opening which is the single strongest market signal in the race. DistFit:+ confirms he handles 7f, and Oisin Murphy's 22% career strike rate from 1,126 rides is the best jockey booking on the card. At 7/4 he is a relatively short price but the convergence of top SR, lightest-weight advantage, recent winning form, and dramatic market support makes the case compelling. Each-way alternative: Aqua Bear. Main danger: Aqua Bear — Aqua Bear (SR 83, 5/1) has steamed 41% in the market, matches Toastmaster on weight at 9-9, and Billy Loughnane's booking on a horse showing strong late support suggests connections are confident he can reverse any class concerns.