ESL Export Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f70y
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 59 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 King's Code | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Let's Dream | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Wahdan | 28/1 open 23.00 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Zgharta | 5/1 open 9.00 | — | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Gonna Fly | 3/1 open 3.25 | — | 3/1 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 2.88 | 3/1 open 2.88 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Nolton Cross | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Patagonia Girl | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 8 Infraad | 8/11 open 1.83 | — | 5/6 | 5/6 | 4/5 | 4/5 open 1.83 | 5/6 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Infraad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Zgharta (SR:87, 5/1, 9-10) has steamed in 26% from its opening price — the most compelling market move in the field — backed by Andrew Balding (19% strike rate, 1307 runners) and P J McDonald (16%). Dropping a class with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, it carries a meaningful weight advantage over the top-rated horses: 5lb less than Infraad (9-4 is lighter, but Infraad is 72 days absent with unproven distance and going) and well below King's Code's 10-2 burden. The SR of 87 is modest in isolation but the combination of market confidence, class drop, going suitability, and strong trainer/jockey pairing makes Zgharta the most coherent betting proposition in this field. Each-way alternative: Gonna Fly. Main danger: Infraad — Infraad (SR:105, 8/11) carries the highest rating in the field and William Haggas (22% strike rate) rarely runs a horse after 72 days off without it being ready — if the absence is explained and the horse arrives fit, its raw SR advantage over every rival makes it the single biggest threat to Zgharta.