Newmark EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f211y
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
SR 87 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 57 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Little Dorrit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 Brielle | 11/1 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Incensed | 15/2 open 12.00 | — | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Dojin | 9/1 open 15.00 | — | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Lady Ridgewood | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 6 Folk Pageant | 8/1 open 6.50 | — | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Hoseki | 13/8 open 2.38 | — | 6/4 open 2.00 | 6/4 open 2.00 | 13/8 open 2.20 | 13/8 open 2.00 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 8 Nochebuena | 15/8 open 3.50 | — | 15/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 9 Sibling Rivelry | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nochebuena owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Nochebuena (SR 98, 15/8) carries 8-2 — a joint-lightest weight alongside Hoseki — and arrives off a form line of 4-21, showing a win on her most recent outing. Ralph Beckett (17% career strike rate, 814 runners) is one of the sharpest trainers in this sphere, and the market has backed this filly in 16% from opening, contrasting sharply with Hoseki's 22% drift. While both 3yo fillies lack confirmed distance and going data (DistFit:? / GoingFit:?), Nochebuena's upward trajectory, superior trainer confidence signal, and the pro-money market move make her the call at a price that still represents fair value in a weak Class 3 field. Each-way alternative: Dojin. Main danger: Hoseki — Hoseki (SR 99, 13/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field, carries the same featherweight 8-2, and is trained by William Haggas (22% career strike rate) — the drift of 22% is the only concern, and if that is market noise rather than stable intelligence, she is capable of winning this.