Newmarket 14:25 RESULTED
Class 1 10 Jul 2026

Friday 10 July Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By Ultimate Provence) (Fillies' Group 2)

Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By Ultimate Provence) (Fillies' Group 2) · 6f

Official Result

Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By Ultimate Provence) (Fillies' Group 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Senorita Bonita (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Simon & Ed Crisford
    9/4
  2. 10/11F
  3. 14/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Acclamation Star silks
Acclamation Star
Age 2 · 9-2
10
83
64
83OR
2
9-2
66/1 40/1 50/1
Unplaced last time, 21 days ago, but she landed a win in her previous start to show ability. Proven over today's distance and going, our 92 rating keeps her in the mix, though a modest speed figure caps her claims from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Alwaysanangel silks
Alwaysanangel
Age 2 · 9-2
1
129
2
9-2
28/1 14/1 28/1
Struck last time out just 9 days ago and returns quickly off the back of that, but sits bottom of these ratings on our figures. Alwaysanangel has run over today's distance before and wears a tongue-tie, though a modest speed figure leaves plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Etonnante silks
Etonnante
Age 2 · 9-2
1
152
2
9-2
10/1 14/1 8/1
Won her latest outing but has not been seen since, a 43-day layoff now. Etonnante has raced over today's distance before, and while a 90 rating keeps her in the picture, second-bottom of our ratings makes her hard to trust fully fresh.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Jolivette silks
Jolivette
Age 2 · 9-2
19
85
80
85OR
2
9-2
12/1 12/1 11/1
A win two starts back is strong form and keeps her firmly in the picture, even after a below-par ninth last time out. Jolivette has raced over today's distance and going before, and a 96 figure marks her a live danger, though that latest run is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Libertango silks
Libertango
Age 2 · 9-2
11
109
124
109OR
2
9-2
8/11 8/13 8/11
Unbeaten in her last two starts, most recently 21 days ago, and a top rating of 112 makes Libertango the one to beat on our figures. She has raced over today's distance and going before, with only the 21-day gap since her last outing worth a mention.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Ruby Moon silks
Ruby Moon
Age 2 · 9-2
1
131
2
9-2
25/1 20/1 22/1
Won at the only start covered by this form line and returns in good order just 16 days later, making Ruby Moon a live threat to our selection. She has raced over today's distance and going before, though a modest speed figure is the one blot on an otherwise solid profile.
AI verdict

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Senorita Bonita silks
Senorita Bonita
Age 2 · 9-2
12
98
109
98OR
2
9-2
5/2 9/4 2/1
Runner-up last time out and a win in her prior start make her the chief danger to our selection, and a strong speed figure of 87 backs that up. Proven over today's distance and going, our 103 rating puts her right in this contest; she just needs a little more to close the gap.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Troublesome Guest silks
Troublesome Guest
Age 2 · 9-2
30
127
2
9-2
66/1 FCST 50/1
Just two recent starts to weigh — a third earlier and an unplaced effort last time. Proven over today's distance and going, our 91 rating and a fair speed figure keep her competitive, though she is yet to win and needs to bounce back.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Acclamation Star 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
2 Alwaysanangel 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 William Hill
3 Etonnante 10/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Jolivette 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Libertango 8/11 open 1.67 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 4/5 William Hill
6 Ruby Moon 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Senorita Bonita 5/2 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 5/2 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Bet365
8 Troublesome Guest 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Etonnante

Live signal

Etonnante owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (54). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/1 K. R. Burke Clifford Lee
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Libertango

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/11 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Troublesome Guest

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · George Margarson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +11.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge High conviction
76 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Etonnante
67.9 10/1
2 5. Libertango
64.5 8/11
3 7. Senorita Bonita
63.9 5/2
4 6. Ruby Moon
53.4 25/1
5 8. Troublesome Guest
51.5 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Etonnante
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-2
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Etonnante
Confidence: Medium

Etonnante (SR:152) is the highest-rated filly in the field by a clear margin — 21 points clear of the second-best rated Ruby Moon (SR:131) — and has steamed in the market by 36%, the sharpest move in the race, indicating strong professional confidence. Stepping up three class tiers is not trivial, but the SR of 152 is meaningfully ahead of anything else here, including the odds-on favourite Libertango (SR:124), whose 8/11 price looks overstated given she is 28 SR points below Etonnante and has drifted 7% since opening. K.R. Burke runs at an 18% strike rate from 588 runners and Clifford Lee at 16% — both solid connections for a Group 2 assignment. With all fillies carrying 9-2 and the market clearly identifying Etonnante as the value proposition, this is a straightforward case of backing the best-rated, most-supported filly at a double-figure price. Each-way alternative: Senorita Bonita. Main danger: Libertango — Libertango (SR:124) is unbeaten in two starts and goes off odds-on at 8/11, suggesting the market believes her two-win sequence — at the same class level — represents more ability than her SR captures, and she could outperform her rating if her debut form is proved to be seriously franked.

Shortlist Etonnante, Libertango, Senorita Bonita
Each-way: Senorita Bonita Danger: Libertango

🗺 The Course Class 1

6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade