Excell Supply EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f17y
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 152 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Akaraka | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Eighth Immortal | 11/8 open 2.75 | — | 5/4 open 2.63 | 5/4 open 2.63 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Regency Royal | 9/2 open 7.00 | — | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Sydney Carton | 12/1 open 10.00 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Towelontheterrace | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Court Legend | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Havana Cohiba | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Hey Dougie | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Lincoln Warrior | 10/1 open 6.50 | — | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 10 True Charm | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Soldier's Echo | 28/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 Betfred |
| 12 Maximus Meridius | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 13 Profitability | 20/1 open 29.00 | — | 18/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Eighth Immortal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 152 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 135 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Eighth Immortal (SR 152, 11/8) is the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear 5 points over Regency Royal (SR 147) and has shortened 12% in the market — genuine money coming in, not sentiment. The SR advantage combined with Rossa Ryan booking (16% career strike rate, over 1,300 career runners — a significant jockey upgrade signal) and Jack Jones' yard (11% strike rate across a sizeable yard) creates a strong multi-signal case. The form figure of '2' on debut is encouraging — a runner-up first time out in a novice context often represents a horse learning its trade and likely to improve sharply. At 11/8 the price is fair rather than generous, but the convergence of SR lead, market confidence, and jockey quality makes it the most defensible selection in a field where several runners are drifting significantly. Each-way alternative: Regency Royal. Main danger: Regency Royal — Regency Royal (SR 147) is a debutant from Andrew Balding's strong yard (19% strike rate, 1,307 runners) with PJ McDonald aboard, and a market move in of 18% is the sharpest ante-post drift in the field — Balding's team clearly fancy their chances with a first-time-out runner, and unexposed two-year-olds from top yards can easily outperform their SR on debut.