Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) · 0m5f0y
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Kendall Roy | 10/3 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 2 Erosandpsyche | 9/2 open 15.00 | 7/2 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Brussels | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Gazelle d'Or | 9/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 5 Likedbymike | 11/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 5/2 open 7.00 | 5/2 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Sarahmae | 15/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Cardiff By The Sea | 33/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Focaccia | 28/1 open 26.00 | 30/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Rosie Frith | 8/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Xerling | 8/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Brussels owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kendall Roy (SR 105, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has attracted significant market confidence — a 15% inward move to 9/2 is meaningful money in a 10-runner Listed sprint. The form string 001936 is messy but the distance fit is moderate and the going is unproven (GoingFit:?) rather than negative, and the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is offset by carrying just 9-10, giving a weight edge over Brussels (9-5) and Erosandpsyche (9-7). Trainer McGivern has a respectable 15% strike rate from a small yard and the Chris Hayes booking at 11% career SR is solid at this level. The market move is the clinching signal here — smart money coming for the SR leader at a workable price. Each-way alternative: Likedbymike. Main danger: Likedbymike — Likedbymike (SR 101, 11/2) has steamed 17% into the market, carries a light 9-2, has a confirmed GoingFit:~ on today's good ground, and the Colin Keane booking (16% career strike rate, 1,060 runners) is the strongest jockey signal in the field — a horse returning to the same mark as its last win with top-tier tactical riding is a genuine threat.