Aperoll arrives on the back of two wins in her last three starts, and her experience over today's trip is a further asset; the 38-day absence is the one question mark connections must answer.
Form last 6131
★AI Rating★★★★☆
107SR100RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Apollo's Comet won last time out but her speed rating of 64 leaves her with a bit to find on our figures, ranked seventh of nine, and a 73-day absence adds further uncertainty, though she has run over today's trip and draws stall five.
Form last 631
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR92RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bayside View arrives on the back of a fine run of form — second last time out, a winner two starts back, and second three starts back — and has experience over today's trip, though 38 days off the track is the one query connections must answer.
Form last 6212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR99RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rated well below the top-ranked runners on these figures, Coaxed won last time out and has run over today's trip, but she has plenty to find on these figures with her rating of 85 ranking her eighth of nine, making her hard to fancy at face value.
Form last 61
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR85RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out, though a winner two and three starts back shows she retains the ability; has run over today's trip and returns on a quick turnaround of 15 days, but at 128 lb from stall six, the weight ask may test her claims.
Form last 633113
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR96RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Light Of Dawn arrives on the back of two consecutive thirds following a win three starts back, and with experience over today's trip and going she looks a genuine threat; the 128 lb burden from stall ten is the chief concern.
Form last 6133
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR101RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Nuit d'Eclair shaped with plenty of promise when second last time out, and a winner three starts back, she brings strong claims on that recent form, having run over today's trip before and arriving here fresh on 22 days' rest carrying 128 lb from stall three.
Form last 6142
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR107RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures and her speed rating of 67 has plenty to find, making her hard to fancy on ratings alone, though back-to-back wins and experience over today's trip offer genuine encouragement after 55 days off.
Form last 611
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR77RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Siena Storm arrives here on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip before, but a fourth two starts back shows she can find one or two too good, and carrying 128 lb from stall eight adds pressure on a mid-table rating of 83.
Form last 641
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR92RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nuit d'Eclair owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Kevin Philippart De FoyDavid Egan
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Bayside View
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Michael Bell✓ Value Signal
Redline
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Charlie Johnston◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Nuit d'Eclair (SR 112, 7/2) is the top-rated runner in this field and the only one combining the highest SR with genuine market confidence — a 16% move in from opening price signals professional money backing this filly. Her form of 142 at the same class level (ClassMv:=) shows consistent high-level engagement, and her DistFit:+ is the only proven distance record in this field of unknowns at 7f, giving her a meaningful edge over rivals like Aperoll and Bayside View who show DistFit:? at this trip. The going is soft and while GoingFit:? applies across the board, her shorter 22-day turnaround suggests connections are happy with conditions and she arrives peak-fit.
Each-way alternative: Siena Storm.
Main danger: Bayside View — Bayside View (SR 107, 4/1) carries Oisin Murphy — the highest-strike-rate jockey in this field at 21% — and a form line of 212 shows consistent competitiveness at the same class level; she has the profile of a reliable place-getter who could peak on the day.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Her form of 142 includes a 4th place finish — not a clean record of dominance at this level, and that mid-sequence blip came at comparable class, suggesting she is beatable by rivals on her day.
GoingFit:? on soft ground is a genuine unknown for Nuit d'Eclair; a French-trained filly by Kevin Philippart De Foy may have limited soft-ground experience at Goodwood specifically, where the track r…
Bayside View (SR:107, Oisin Murphy) and Aperoll (SR:107, Pat Dobbs, Richard Hannon) are only 5 points off on SR and both showed recent form figures including wins — at 4/1 they represent meaningful m…
Coaxed (Gosden/Buick, 25% trainer strike rate) has drifted to 13/2 but that yard's 18-day turnaround and elite handler combination makes her a live danger if the drift is misleading — drawing market…
ShortlistNuit d'Eclair, Aperoll, Bayside View, Siena Storm