Coolmore Stud Little Big Bear Stakes (Group 3) · 0m7f0y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 97 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 72 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Catalina Delcarpio | 5/2 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 7.00 | 9/4 open 6.50 | 2/1 open 6.50 | 9/4 open 6.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Greydreambeliever | 66/1 open 34.00 | 70/1 open 8.50 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 3 Princess Child | 9/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Stugardia | 33/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Wannabe Royal | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Cromac Quay | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 8.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Dancing Saxon | 3/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Josh's Joy | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Magny Cours | 6/1 open 4.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 7/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Pivotal Attack | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 13.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Prevalence | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Spinning Around | 11/1 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Suzie Songs | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Wild Bessie | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dancing Saxon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dancing Saxon (SR:113, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries only 9-2, giving it a 5lb weight advantage over the 4-year-olds at 9-7. The form string -11213 shows consistent competitiveness at this level with two recent wins, and crucially both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at 7f on good ground — the most specific going/distance alignment in the field. The market has shortened 33% since opening, the strongest steaming from any credible contender, signalling strong stable and market confidence. As Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard runner with Declan McDonogh booked (more experienced booking than stablemates on Scott McCullagh and Nathan Crosse), this is clearly the yard's #1 hope from their four-runner team. Each-way alternative: Catalina Delcarpio. Main danger: Catalina Delcarpio — Catalina Delcarpio (SR:112, 7/2) has steamed in 38% — the most dramatic market move in the field — carries the same weight as Dancing Saxon's opponents at 9-7 but has the second-highest SR and DistFit:+, and Pat Twomey's 23% strike rate is the best of any trainer in this race, suggesting the market knows something tangible about peak fitness after a 74-day break.