Blazeon Five showed smart form when winning back-to-back four and five starts back, and her second two starts back underlines her consistency at this level; the main concern is a 64-day absence returning here off 143 lb.
Form last 611-620
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR96RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Squire Danagher arrives on the back of three consecutive wins but faces a fitness query after 78 days off, and his speed rating of 71 gives modest cause for optimism; he has experience on today's going, though 141 lb is no trifle.
Form last 65711/1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR90RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked well adrift of the field on our figures, Senor Cortez faces a stiff ask at the weights on 140 lb, yet his recent form is undeniably eye-catching — three wins in his last three starts — and he has run over today's trip before.
Form last 6357111
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR88RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Moon Over Miami shaped well to score five starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going underlines his credentials as a leading threat; the main concern is whether 64 days off the track has left him short of peak sharpness.
Form last 61-5040
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR97RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Marnier won two starts back but was only sixth last time out, and while he has run over today's trip and comes here on a workable 22-day break, a weight of 139 lb may test his ability to build on that earlier success.
Form last 6726316
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR91RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Personal Best faces a stiff ask, though she arrives in decent heart — a winner last time out and placed on two of her four starts before that. She has experience of today's trip and going, and 37 days between runs should leave her fresh.
Form last 62-4321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR88RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Maxident arrives on the back of two consecutive runner-up finishes and a win three starts back, showing admirable consistency, and our rating of 92 marks him out as a leading danger; the main concern is whether he can finally convert that placed form into victory.
Form last 6421-22
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR92RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Premiere Ligne nonetheless catches the eye on our rating of 91, and he has run over today's trip and going, arriving here fresh on a 20-day break carrying 129 lb.
Form last 60/9676
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR91RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Knight Templar shapes as a tough sell, ranked last of the nine on our figures, and he was unplaced last time out after consecutive placed efforts; his sole recent win came six starts back, making him hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip and distance.
Form last 6182220
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR82RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Squire Danagher owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Emma LavelleRay Dawson
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Moon Over Miami
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Ralph Beckett✓ Value Signal
Knight Templar
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Robert Stephens◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Moon Over Miami (SR:88, 11/2, 10-0) has been dramatically steamed in the market — a 43% move in from an opening price is the most significant market signal in the race and demands respect. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 3 handicap over 2m on soft is a logical and well-timed move from the Ralph Beckett yard (17% strike rate, the strongest trainer in the field), and Hector Crouch at 17% provides a competent booking. While the form string 1-5040 is mixed, the standout win earlier in the sequence and today's class drop combine with the aggressive market move to present a compelling case. Carrying 10-0 is not a burden in this modest field where the SR ceiling is only 91.
Each-way alternative: Maxident.
Main danger: Maxident — Maxident (SR:91, highest in the field, 7/2, 9-8) has shortened 10% in the market, carries a favourable weight, and the form string 421-22 shows consistent placed efforts at this level — if the pace suits a prominent racer, this is the one most likely to deny Moon Over Miami.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 1-5040 shows three consecutive defeats (5th, 4th, 0) since that standout win; the 0 (last-time-out non-finish or PU) is a serious red flag at 64 days off.
Senor Cortez (SR:90, Form:357111) has won three on the spin most recently, is fresher at 20 days, and crucially carries the same weight (10-0) while boasting the superior recent form.
The 43% market steam, while notable, is countered by Senor Cortez drifting 36% — suggesting informed money may have left Moon Over Miami for the in-form horse or been replaced by public money on the…
Maxident (SR:91, highest in the field) and Squire Danagher (Form:5711/1, also unbeaten last time) both represent stronger recent form profiles at equivalent or shorter prices.
ShortlistMoon Over Miami, Maxident, Senor Cortez, Squire Danagher