COLM QUINN BMW Mile Handicap · 1m0f123y
SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Loughrea | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Norwalk Havoc | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Jagged Edge | 13/2 open 8.50 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 3 Ribee | 9/1 open 8.50 | — | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Dunum | 15/2 open 10.00 | — | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 5 Gleneagle Bay | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Hardy Warrior | 4/1 open 7.50 | — | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 Coral |
| 7 Lord Massusus | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Far From Dandy | 11/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Pierre Royal | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 Coral |
| 11 Booyea | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Orandi | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Genuine Article | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Lady Lilac | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Lir Speciale | 17/2 open 15.00 | — | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 16 Terre De Vega | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Howyoulikethat | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Kai Lung | 16/1 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Merlin The Wizard | 22/1 | — | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 20 Monvoe | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 21 Monoceros | 33/1 open 41.00 | — | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hardy Warrior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Hardy Warrior (SR:109, 4/1) is the standout performer on Saturday Rating in this field, holding a clear 11-point edge over the next-best Lir Speciale (SR:89). Crucially, that ability advantage is carried on just 9-7, not an oppressive weight, and the market has backed this view strongly with a 26% inward move from opening price — Joseph Patrick O'Brien's stable operates at 16% with 1,479 runners, the strongest training strike rate in the race, and Dylan Browne McMonagle's 15% booking confirms this is taken seriously from the yard. Hardy Warrior is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) which no other realistic contender can match as clearly, and a mark 2lb below last winning mark (MarkMv:-2) means the handicapper has given rather than taken from connections. The form string 24-134 shows a last-time-out fourth that keeps the mark manageable while form prior to that includes a win and place at this class of contest. Each-way alternative: Lir Speciale. Main danger: Dunum — Dunum (SR:95, 9-7) has steamed 27% in the market — the joint-biggest inward move in the race — is off a mark only 3lb above last win, and returns from a 318-day absence for a yard that clearly had this race in mind, making it the most dangerous unknown quantity in the field.