Arch Empire has struggled to make an impact recently, never better than fourth in his last five starts and that was five starts back. He already has experience of today's trip and going, though a rating of 120 leaves him seventh of ten on our figures for this.
Form last 6497-68
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
123SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Begger has found things tough of late, unseated twice and never better than fifth in his last five starts. He returns after a 72-day break with too little to judge him on, and has plenty to prove before he can be trusted in this company.
Form last 65U5-U7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bowensonfire won four and five starts back, underlining the improvement that puts him at the top of this field, and he already has experience of today's trip and going. His level has dipped since, fourth last time out, but a rating of 144 marks him clearly the one to beat here.
Form last 61107-4
★AI Rating★★★★☆
155SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Eclipse Chaser was placed with a third two starts back, though a below-par eighth last time out is the more recent form. He already has experience of today's trip and going, and a rating of 118 sits just below his official mark, but two pulled-up runs earlier in his sequence remain a concern.
Form last 60PP-38
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
98SR—RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Frankie John won five starts back and has otherwise raced with reasonable consistency, finishes of fourth and fifth in between. A below-par eighth last time and a 90-day absence are risks, but a rating of 129 makes him a live danger to our selection.
Form last 615548-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
149SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Love Me Tender won five starts back and was also placed third three and four starts back, a solid sequence that leaves him second only to our selection on a rating of 138. He already has experience of today's trip and going, but a 90-day absence is the obvious concern heading into this.
Form last 613345-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
154SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
My Great Mate won four starts back and was runner-up two back, a fair level of form that supports a rating of 126, fourth-best in this field. He already has experience of today's trip and going, but a lengthy 323-day absence is a major query over his readiness.
Form last 614/24-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Robbies Rock was second last time out, and his win came three starts back with a fourth in between. He already has experience of today's trip and going, but his yard is out of form - two winners from 39 runners in the last fortnight - and he rates mid-table on 120.
Form last 658142/
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
145SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
William Tell was runner-up two starts back but has otherwise struggled, including an unseated run last time out. He already has experience of today's trip and going, and a quick reappearance just six days later suggests he's fit, though a rating of 120 keeps him only midfield here.
Form last 66-972U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
122SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jolie Jewel was runner-up last time out and placed third two starts back, continuing a string of frame finishes that also includes a win five starts back. She already has experience of today's trip and going, but a rating of 114 leaves her second from bottom in this field.
Form last 6106-32
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR—RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bowensonfire owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Gordon ElliottJack Kennedy
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Love Me Tender
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · W P Mullins✓ Value Signal
William Tell
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · David Harry Kelly◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Love Me Tender (SR 154, 9/4) is the highest-rated Mullins runner and the yard's clear #1 choice here, with Harry Cobden — a high-strike-rate jumps jockey at 21% from 189 rides — booked ahead of Danny Mullins on the lesser-rated Eclipse Chaser and Paul Townend on My Great Mate. Crucially, Love Me Tender is the only top-tier runner showing meaningful market confidence, shortening 14% since opening, while stablemate My Great Mate has drifted 19% and Bowensonfire 8%. The form string 13345- shows consistent competitiveness and the horse is only 5 years old — younger and more progressive than most rivals. Mullins running with a tongue-tie signals a specific schooling or jumping focus, and a 90-day break is standard for a yard managing horses carefully into summer chases.
Each-way alternative: Frankie John.
Main danger: Bowensonfire — Bowensonfire carries the highest SR in the field at 155 with Jack Kennedy — a 20% strike-rate jockey — booked, and if the hood addresses any jumping hesitancy, raw ability could prove decisive despite the market drift.
ShortlistLove Me Tender, Bowensonfire, Frankie John, My Great Mate