Third last time out, and a second two starts back, though without a win in his last four starts. Fit for this on a 21-day break and with experience over today's trip, he can play a minor role without being the one to beat.
Form last 60523
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unplaced last time out, with a fifth and a seventh before that, so still without a win in his last three starts. Fit again on a 15-day turnaround, and rated above his official mark by our figures, he's a leading threat here on figures alone.
Form last 6750
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A second two and three starts back, and only below-par when sixth last time out — the ability is clear without a win in his last four starts. Fit after 24 days off, with experience over today's trip and going, he's clearly the one to beat on our figures.
Form last 68226
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third in each of his last three starts, and sixth before that — admirably consistent but still without a win in his last four. Fit for this on a 20-day break, and with experience over today's trip and going, he's rated second in the field and looks the most obvious threat.
Form last 66333
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A fourth last time out, with two fifths before that — moderate form, still without a win in her last three starts, though the yard has landed 14 of its last 38 (37%) in the past fortnight. Back from a 59-day break with experience over today's trip, she rates among the leading dangers.
Form last 6554
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A modest fifth last time out, following a ninth and a seventh — yet to threaten in his last three runs and ranked ninth of ten on our figures. Fit again on a 20-day break with experience over today's trip, there's little here to suggest a change in fortunes.
Form last 6795
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Unplaced last time out having been fifth and seventh before that, she's still without a win in her last three runs. Fit again 19 days on, and rated above her official mark by our figures, she can hold her own in this midfield company without standing out.
Form last 6750
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A middling fifth last time out, with finishes of eighth, sixth, seventh and ninth in the runs before that — plenty of experience, yet to win in his last five starts. Fit on a 14-day turnaround and with experience of today's ground, he looks capable of little more than making up the numbers.
Form last 697685
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Consistently modest but honest — fourth last time out, with fifth, fourth, fifth and an unplaced effort before that, still without a win in her last five starts. Fit again 14 days on with experience over today's trip, but ranked eighth of ten she has a fair bit to find here.
Form last 605454
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
An eighth last time out and unplaced in each of the two starts before that, this gelding is yet to threaten and rated bottom of the field on our figures. A 33-day break does him no favours, and there's little in the form to suggest an upturn here.
Form last 6008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ariane Sky owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4James OwenMason Paetel(5)
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jazzy Bay
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Eve Johnson Houghton✓ Value Signal
Drum Major
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · William Muir & Chris Grassick◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ariane Sky (SR:61, 11/4) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-4 among the top-rated horses, giving her a 3lb edge on Jazzy Bay and Cutlass, and a 5lb edge on the two 9-9 runners. The market has steamed in 30% from opening, representing the most significant positive move in the field among the principal contenders and suggesting informed confidence. James Owen's 18% strike rate is the best of any trainer in this field, and the class drop of two tiers indicates she arrives in a race pitched below her recent assignments. The 59-day break is a slight concern, but the market support strongly implies she has trained well and connections are confident.
Each-way alternative: Clear Horizon.
Main danger: Cutlass — Cutlass (SR:60, 3/1) has shortened 13% in the market, carries 9-9 but has the second-strongest market move in the field and Brian Meehan's booking of Jason Watson (13% strike rate) signals genuine intent from connections.
ShortlistAriane Sky, Cutlass, Jazzy Bay, Clear Horizon