Crescent Moon followed a spell of three pulled-up efforts with back-to-back fifths, and has run over today's trip and going before — form that still tops this 23-strong field on our figures. She's without a win in that run, though, and a yard managing only a 5% strike rate lately is the obvious concern.
Form last 6PPP-55
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
86SR—RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
Fort Randall won last time out and was also successful three starts back, with a third in between, and has run over today's trip and going before. A modest seventh further back in that form, and a rating only in the middle of this field, keep his claims in check.
Form last 67/1-31
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR—RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Leave In Secret has run over today's trip and going before and rates well above his official mark, a leading contender on our figures. He's yet to score in his last five starts though, with nothing better than two fourths, the polish still missing before he can follow through.
Form last 6467-74
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
83SR—RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Butter Fingers won his latest start and rates third of 23 on our figures, with experience over today's trip and going already banked. An 82-day break since that success is the obvious concern, after a mixed spell of minor efforts beforehand.
Form last 60436-1
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR—RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ned In The Park was runner-up last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, with a win among his last five starts too. A ninth three starts back shows the inconsistency that leaves him only midfield on our figures.
Form last 61-4932
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Finnians Row won his last two starts and has run over today's trip and going before, form that put him well into contention. Two pulled-up efforts further back temper the picture, and our figures only rate him mid-pack for this line-up.
Form last 63PP-11
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Truckers Cruising pulled up last time out and has managed only one win in his last five starts, leaving him 16th of 23 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going before, which offers a note of experience amid a mixed campaign.
Form last 61U6-0P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR—RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Kilbrin Rocco was runner-up last time out and boasts two wins among his last five starts, plus experience over today's trip and going. An 82-day absence, and a place only mid-to-low on our figures, leave questions over fitness for this stronger field.
Form last 61951-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Party President is fresh off a quick 12-day turnaround, having been runner-up three starts back among his last five, though his last two starts brought sixths. He rates a fair sixth of 23 on our figures but is yet to win in that run, with graft still needed to follow through.
Form last 69-P266
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Tell Us This gets the nod from us on his overall profile — a progressive sort with a win and a second among his last five starts, sharpened by a recent 16-day turnaround and with today's trip and going both covered. A modest fifth last time out is the only blot on an otherwise solid picture.
Form last 6251-35
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cahirdown Boy is back from a lengthy 168-day absence and is still without a win in his last four starts, with a fourth three starts back his best effort there. He does arrive with experience over today's trip and going, and sits a workable 13th of 23 on our figures despite the layoff.
Form last 6/84U5-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Drop A Threat has run over today's going before and followed a pulled-up effort with modest finishes since, but rates a strong fifth of 23 on our figures, well clear of his official mark. He's still without a win in his last five starts though, leaving questions over whether he can find the necessary polish.
Form last 674-0P5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
A Snow White Park was runner-up in each of her last two starts and has run over today's trip and going before, form that puts her in the frame. She's still without a win in her last five starts, though, and a ninth further back is the blot on that record.
Form last 694-522
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Herja has two runner-up finishes among her last five starts, plus a third, and has raced over today's trip and going before — a solid recent CV. She's still without a win in her last five starts, though, and a modest sixth last time out is the concern heading into this.
Form last 672-326
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Giant Haystacks won last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, a boost for this stronger assignment. That victory followed a run of modest finishes though, and he sits only 11th of 23 on our figures for this tougher test.
Form last 675-431
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR—RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Driveonwill has two unseated efforts among his last five starts clouding the picture, and he's hard to fancy at 20th of 23 on our figures. He does have a win in that spell and has run over today's going before, but the swings in form are hard to ignore.
Form last 644-U1U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Stoneyford Lady's form has been modest since her last win, though a third last time out shows she's holding form, and she sits only 17th of 23 on our figures. Fresh off a quick 6-day turnaround and with today's trip and going already covered, she can't be entirely dismissed.
Form last 6187-53
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
That's About Right has run over today's trip and going before and rates well clear of his official mark, up to eighth of 23 on our figures. He's still without a win in his last five starts though, with a pulled-up effort among them, leaving a question over reliability.
Form last 645P-04
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Sea Of Doubt has two runner-up finishes and a win among her last five starts, and has run over today's trip and going before — form that outstrips her position of 18th of 23 on our figures. A fortnight since her latest start keeps her fresh enough to feature.
Form last 6-16232
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mount Shenshan is still without a win in her last five starts and is hard to fancy, down in 21st of 23 on our figures. A third among those efforts is the one bright spot, and she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 645-356
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
My Cullen was runner-up last time out and has run over today's going before, though he's without a win in his last five starts and a fall features in that run too. A yard on just a 5% strike rate lately, and a lowly position of 19th of 23 on our figures, make him tough to fancy despite the rapid 4-day turnaround.
Form last 6-F9052
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Stily pulled up last time out and is still without a win in his last five starts, though a second and two thirds further back show he has ability. He has run over today's trip and going before but sits down in 22nd of 23 on our figures.
Form last 66332-P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Max Time is still without a win in his last five starts, with two pulled-up efforts in that run leaving little to build on. A fourth last time out, and experience over today's trip and going, are the only crumbs of comfort, though he sits bottom of our figures for this field.
Form last 60-PP04
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fort Randall owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Noel C KellyMr O McGill(5)
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Giant Haystacks
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Ross O'Sullivan✓ Value Signal
Herja
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Patrick Griffin◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fort Randall (SR:106) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 8 points clear of the next best Giant Haystacks (SR:98) — and carries a manageable 11-12, only 2lb more than Giant Haystacks at 11-3. His form string 7/1-31 shows a win and a third from his last two completed runs, indicating a horse in decent order. Jockey Mr O McGill (14% strike rate, 77 runners) is a capable claimer booking, and while the market has drifted 11%, that drift is modest compared to the extreme drifts seen on Kilbrin Rocco (out46%), A Snow White Park (out31%), and several others, suggesting this is more noise than a confident negative signal. At 11/2 he represents the strongest SR in the race with a form line that points upward.
Each-way alternative: Tell Us This.
Main danger: Giant Haystacks — Giant Haystacks (SR:98, 11/2) is the O'Sullivan yard's most likely number-one runner — paired with Danny Gilligan (10% strike rate, 422 runners), the more experienced booking compared to stablemate Shane Markey (6%, 48 runners) on Butter Fingers — and arrives on the back of a win in his last start (Form:75-431) at a light weight of 11-3.
ShortlistFort Randall, Giant Haystacks, Tell Us This, Finnians Row, Sea Of Doubt