DragonBet/Martin Davies Handicap Stakes · 0m7f80y
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Distinct Spirit | 8/11 open 2.10 | — | 4/6 open 1.91 | 4/6 open 1.91 | 4/6 open 2.00 | 4/6 open 1.91 | 8/11 Bet365 |
| 2 Name The Day | 20/1 open 11.00 | — | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 3 Decalogue | 17/2 open 7.00 | — | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 9/1 William Hill |
| 4 Flyta | 2/1 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 9/4 William Hill |
| 5 Sofian | 17/2 open 13.00 | — | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Distinct Spirit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Distinct Spirit (SR 76, 8/11) is the class standout in this modest five-runner Class 5 field, carrying a 8-point SR advantage over the second-best horse Flyta (SR 84 — wait, Flyta SR 84 is actually higher). Reassessing: Flyta holds the SR edge at 84 versus Distinct Spirit's 76, but Distinct Spirit has steamed in 14% in the market to 8/11 favouritism, carries top-weight of 10-2 yet still commands strong confidence from connections, and shows confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) where Flyta is actually marked DistFit:- — a meaningful negative at this trip. Flyta's trainer Mark Loughnane runs at only 6% strike rate and the horse is 3lb higher than its last win (MarkMv:+3), while Distinct Spirit's market move of 14% inward with a five-day turnaround from the Kubler yard suggests a confident pitch. Distinct Spirit's DistFit:+ versus Flyta's DistFit:- is the decisive tiebreaker at 7f80y. Each-way alternative: Flyta. Main danger: Flyta — Flyta carries the highest SR in the field at 84 on a pound-lighter weight of 9-4, has won at Ffos Las before (Course:W1P1), and Rob Hornby is a competent booking — if the DistFit:- is less relevant than the course familiarity on good going, Flyta represents the most credible threat.