Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Contrary To Law owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1J P MurtaghBen Coen
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Watch Tower
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · G M Lyons✓ Value Signal
Eddie G
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Adrian McGuinness◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Contrary To Law (SR:90, 2/1) carries the lightest competitive weight in the field at 9-1 — a 13lb advantage over top-weight Little Empire and a meaningful 4lb edge on Watch Tower — and is the only runner showing significant market confidence, having been backed in 19% from the open. The last run '1' in the form string (94-671) confirms a recent winning effort, and trainer J P Murtagh (11%, 613 runners) paired with jockey Ben Coen (12%, 634 runners) is a sharp combination. Watch Tower drifted 20% out despite being the SR leader at 94, suggesting market participants have concerns, which further strengthens the case for Contrary To Law at the top of the SR rankings among backed horses.
Each-way alternative: Little Empire.
Main danger: Watch Tower — Watch Tower holds the highest SR in the race at 94, carries only 9-5 for a top trainer-jockey combination (G M Lyons 15%, Colin Keane 16%), and a recent form line of 522-41 shows it won two back and ran well last time — if the 20% drift is noise rather than intelligence, it easily wins.
ShortlistContrary To Law, Watch Tower, Little Empire